Team | Actual Selection | AP Selection | Reach |
Detroit Lions - UCrawford | 1 Matthew Stafford | LB Aaron Curry | -3 |
St. Louis Rams - Lanier63 | 2 Jason Smith | OT Jason Smith | 0 |
Kansas City Chiefs - TonyG88 | 3 Tyson Jackson | OT Eugene Monroe | -5 |
Seattle Seahawks - mikvogel | 4 Aaron Curry | DT B.J. Raji | -5 |
Cleveland Browns - HIV2Elway | 5 Mark Sanchez | WR Michael Crabtree | -5 |
Cincinnati Bengals - mistamic | 6 Andre Smith | OT Andre Smith | 0 |
Oakland Raiders - mushin | 7 Darrius Heyward-Bey | WR Jeremy Maclin | -12 |
Jacksonville Jaguars - DThomasReigns | 8 Eugene Monroe | WR Percy Harvin | -14 |
Green Bay Packers - JasonM | 9 B.J. Raji | DE/OLB Everette Brown | -34 |
San Francisco 49ers - Harry Feltersnatch | 10 Michael Crabtree | QB Matt Stafford | +9 |
Buffalo Bills - ArrowDread | 11 Aaron Maybin | LB Rey Maualuga | -27 |
Denver Broncos - Keyser Sose | 12 Knowshon Moreno | DE Brian Orakpo | -1 |
Washington Redskins - Official Arrowhead Pride Parade | 13 Brian Orakpo | T Michael Oher | -10 |
New Orleans Saints - cmpotter | 14 Malcolm Jenkins | CB Vontae Davis | -11 |
Houston Texans - ChiefsDude | 15 Brian Cushing | CB Malcolm Jenkins | +1 |
San Diego Chargers - Helmets | 16 Larry English | DE Tyson Jackson | +13 |
New York Jets - NJChief | 17 Josh Freeman | QB Mark Sanchez | +12 |
Chicago Bears - Holmeslice | 18 Robert Ayers | QB Josh Freeman | +1 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - madtheory | 19 Jeremy Maclin | DT Peria Jerry | -4 |
Detroit Lions - UCrawford | 20 Brandon Pettigrew | DE Aaron Maybin | +9 |
Philadelphia Eagles - Chiefsfan717 | 21 Alex Mack | TE Brandon Pettigrew | +1 |
Minnesota Vikings - kcsno56 | 22 Percy Harvin | WR Hakeem Nicks | -5 |
New England Patriots - connerman | 23 Michael Oher | RB Chris Wells | -8 |
Atlanta Falcons - RedNose | 24 Peria Jerry | LB Clay Matthews | -2 |
Miami Dolphins - shraggyj | 25 Vontae Davis | LB Brian Cushing | +10 |
Baltimore Ravens - Ben S | 26 Clay Matthews | CB Alphonso Smith | -11 |
Indianapolis Colts - craig in calgary | 27 Donald Brown | LB James Laurinaitis | -8 |
Philadelphia Eagles - Chiefsfan717 | 28 Eric Wood | OT Eben Britton | -11 |
New York Giants - ChiefsFan90s | 29 Hakeem Nicks | WR Darrius Heyward-Bay | +22 |
Tennessee Titans - Lvl.99 | 30 Kenny Britt | C Alex Mack | +9 |
Arizona Cardinals - THE_TRUTH | 31 Chris Wells | RB Knowshon Moreno | +19 |
Pittsburgh Steelers - McWhirt33 | 32 Evander Hood | CB/S Sean Smith |
As you can imagine, there weren't very many picks by the Arrowhead Pride faithful that were right on in this past weekend's NFL draft. Lots of inexplicable drops to the second round by first round prospects threw our whole mock draft out of whack.
Here is how to read the chart. Basically, the closer to zero the better, with a negative number meaning the AP mock drafter "reached" for that pick compared to where the player fell in the actual draft. A positive number means good value was had for that pick. I subtracted the real draft position from AP's draft position to get these numbers.
Basically, negative is bad and positive is good. The second round is after the jump.
Here are some stats on the AP Mock Draft v. the real thing:
Right on
Four people got their picks dead on - Lanier63 (#2 overall, OT Jason Smith to the Rams), mistamic (#6 overall, OT Andre Smith to the Bengals), ChiefsFan90s (#45 overall, LB Clint Sintim to the Giants) and ChiefsFan717 (#53 overall, RB LeSean McCoy to the Eagles). Not too shabby in this draft.
Biggest Reaches
Our main man THE_TRUTH was in a league of his own with this one. His selection of C A.Q. Shipley with the #63 pick in our mock ended up coming far too early. Shipley ended up going in the 7th round with the #236 pick. That comes to a reach factor of -173. We still love him though.
DThomasReigns was next up on the reach list. Oklahoma G Duke Robinson fell all the way to the 27th pick of the 5th rounder. The reach factor ended up being -124.
The next three big reaches before the numbers dropped off were ChiefsFan90s selecting OT Herman Johnson at #60 (reach of -107), RedNose selecting CB Victor Harris (reach of -102) and 808NanZ808 taking OL Fenuki Tupa at #59 (reach of -100).
Non-reaches
Not including those who nailed their picks, we only had seven commenters who did not end up reaching for their mock draft picks. They are Holmeslice (CB Malcolm Jenkins at #15), Chiefsfan717 (TE Branden Pettigrew at #21), JasonM (DT Ron Brace at #41), PSUkegreen (WR Mohammed Massaquoi at #52), Lanier63 (DT Evander Hood at #35) and finally saskwatch (DT Fili Moala at #61). Nice work fellas.
We'll do it again next year
Many thanks to everyone who participated this year. Every pick came in on time and the write ups were excellent. For those interested in last year's mock draft v. the real thing, stag was nice enough to do that post back in August.
Click over for the second round results and grade the draft in the poll below.
Pick | Team | Actual Selection | AP Selection | Reach |
1(33) | Detroit Lions - UCrawford | 33 Louis Delmas | CB Darius Butler | -8 |
2(34) | New England Patriots (From Kansas City) - connerman | 34 Patrick Chung | DE Robert Ayers | +16 |
3(35) | St. Louis Rams - Lanier63 | 35 James Laurinaitis | DT Evander Hood | +3 |
4(36) | Cleveland Browns - HIV2Elway | 36 Brian Robiskie | DE Connor Barwin | -10 |
5(37) | Seattle Seahawks - mikvogel | 37 Alphonso Smith | OT William Beatty | -23 |
6(38) | Cincinnati Bengals - mistamic | 38 Rey Maualuga | C Max Unger | -11 |
7(39) | Jacksonville Jaguars - DThomasReigns | 39 Eben Britton | G Duke Robinson | -124 |
8(40) | Oakland Raiders - mushin | 40 Ron Brace | T Phil Loadholt | -14 |
9(41) | Green Bay Packers - JasonM | 41 Darius Butler | DT Ron Brace | +1 |
10(42) | Buffalo Bills - ArrowDread | 42 Jairus Byrd | DE Michael Johnson | -28 |
11(43) | San Francisco 49ers - Harry Feltersnatch | 43 Everette Brown | DE/LB Larry English | +27 |
12(44) | Miami Dolphins (From Washington) - shraggyj | 44 Pat White | WR Kenny Britt | +14 |
13(45) | New York Giants (From New Orleans) - ChiefsFan90s | 45 Clint Sintim | LB Clint Sintim | 0 |
14(46) | Houston Texans - ChiefsDude | 46 Connor Barwin | FS Louis Delmas | +13 |
15(47) | New England Patriots (From San Diego) - connerman | 47 Michael Mitchell | DE/OLB Paul Kruger | -10 |
16(48) | Denver Broncos (From Texans) - Keyser Sose | 48 Darcel McBath | RB Donald Brown | +21 |
17(49) | Chicago Bears - Holmeslice | 49 Max Unger | C Jonathan Luigs | -57 |
18(50) | Cleveland Browns (From Tampa Bay) - HIV2Elway | 50 Mohamed Massaquoi | RB Shonn Green | -15 |
19(51) | Dallas Cowboys - chiefsfan1384 | 51 Andy Levitre | SS William Moore | -4 |
20(52) | New York Jets - PSUkegreen | 52 David Veikune | WR Mohamed Massaquoi | +2 |
21(53) | Philadelphia Eagles - Chiefsfan717 | 53 LeSean McCoy | RB LeSean McCoy | 0 |
22(54) | Minnesota Vikings - kcsno56 | 54 Phil Loadholt | C Eric Wood | +26 |
23(55) | Atlanta Falcons - RedNose | 55 William Moore | CB Victor Harris | -102 |
24(56) | Miami Dolphins - shraggyj | 56 Fili Moala | CB Jarius Byrd | +14 |
25(57) | Baltimore Ravens - Ben S | 57 Paul Kruger | WR Brian Robiskie | +21 |
26(58) | New England Patriots - connerman | 58 Sebastian Vollmer | DL Jarron Gilbert | -10 |
27(59) | Carolina Panthers - 808NaNz808 | 59 Sherrod Martin | OL Fenuki Tupou | -100 |
28(60) | New York Giants - ChiefsFan90s | 60 William Beatty | OT Herman Johnson | -107 |
29(61) | Indianapolis Colts - saskwatch | 61 Sean Smith | DT Fili Moala | +5 |
30(62) | Tennessee Titans - Lvl.99 | 62 Sen'Derrick Marks | LB Cody Brown | -1 |
31(63) | Arizona Cardinals - THE_TRUTH | 63 Cody Brown | C A.Q. Shipley | -173 |
32(64) | Pittsburgh Steelers - McWhirt33 | 64 Richard Quinn | OT T.J. Lang | -45 |