When we go to the superbowl!

1) I assumed LJ is gone. We will likely rely on Smith, Charles, and RB X at RB, meaning less of a running game from the start of the season.

2) I used last year’s KC Offense as a base and factored in Haley’s pass happy approach.
2008 KC passing stats = Comps- 310 / Att- 541 / Yds- 3358
2008 AZ passing stats = Comps- 418 / Att- 630 / Yds- 4875

3) 2008 Tyler Thigpen passing stats = Comps- 230 / Att- 420 / Yds- 2608 / TD-INT- 18-12
Bones had 420 attempts despite not attempting a single pass in 2 games, 10 attempts in another, and only 11 attempts in yet another game.

4) With Cassel coming into what should be an even more pass oriented version of KC’s offense than last year, questionable running game, and having to adjust to new receivers, I assumed we would throw a lot of screens to the RB’s & WR’s, thus increasing his attempts.

I also assumed our D will be nearly as bad as last season, especially while transitioning to a 3-4…so we will need to pass a lot to come from behind in games this year.

5) 595 attempts in a season is 35 fewer than ARI last season and only 54 more than KC last season.

6) 3950 yds is only 592 yds more than KC last year, and a 925 yds fewer than ARI last season. I assumed our passing attack would be better this season (not a stretch), but not at the level of ARI, for obvious reasons. So, I skewed it lower than the median.

7) 357 comps is only a 60% completion rate. I decreased Cassel’s completion rate from last year, 63.4%, due to adjusting to our receivers, Bowe’s drops :), and new scheme.

8) 25 TD /18 INT. I just thought 25 TDs was plausible and increased his INTs to 18 due to factors listed above.

9) Looking at Comps- 357 / Att- 595 / Yds- 3950 / TD/INT- 25-18 considering everything statistically above, seemed reasonable.

10) I guessed.