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Comparing Matt Cassel VS Tyler Thigpen

Let me start be saying I'm really happy that we got Cassel in the fashion that we did.  I think it was GREAT for us to bring him in and do it  w/ a 2nd rounder and also getting Vrable.  I found out when my brother (raider fan) text me "cassel huh?"  I replied w/ some profanity.  But when he told me we got him AND Vrable with only a 2nd round pick.... I was ecstatic. 

 

But, I'm not sold on Cassel being given QB1 or him (necessarily) being a franchise QB over Tyler Thigpen.  Though I hope he (or Thigpen for that matter) proves to be both of those.

 

I know that an argument against Cassel is that he is a product of the New England system.

I know that an argument against Thigpen is that he only has 1 win.

 

My intent with this post is to compare Tyler Thigpen & Matt Cassel as STARTERS in 2008.

<!-- TOKEN_1236045093721_TOKEN -->

Star-divide

Matt Cassel

Cassel_medium

via weblogs.newsday.com

Number of Pro-Bowlers that played a minimum of 10 games:

9-  Welker, Vrabel, O'Neill, Moss, Hanson, Ghostkowski, Wilfork, Seymour, Bruchi (Thomas & Izzo played 9 games)

New England's NFL Rankings:

Offense- 5th      Passing- 12th    Rushing- 6th    DEFENSE- 10th

Stats as Starter:

Games- 15   Completions- 314    Attempts- 498    %- 63.1   Yards- 3,541  YPA- 7.11   YPG- 236.1     TD- 20    Int- 11    Rating- 88.4   [Att/G- 33.2 (3.2 more/G)  Comp/G- 20.9 (3.4more/G)]

Rushing:  69 Carries    257 Yards   3.7 Avg    2 TD   7 Fumbles   4 Lost

Touchdowns/Game= 1.47     Int+Fum/Game= 1.2

 

Recievers:

1. W. Welker  (9th).......111 Rec.....1165 Yds....3 TD

2. R. Moss  (21st)..........69..............1088..........11

3. K. Faulk ......................58................486............3

4. J. Gaffney....................38................468............2

 

Tyler Thipgen

340x_medium

via cache.daylife.com

Pro-Bowler that played a minimum 10 games:

3. Gonzo, LJ, Waters

NFL Rankings:

Offense- 24th    Pass- 20th    Rush- 16th   DEFENSE- 31st

Stats as the Starter:

Games- 11    Comp- 192   Attempts- 330    %- 58.3   Yards- 2,216  YPA- 6.72  YPG- 201.5       TD- 16   INT- 8   Rating- 84.6   [Att/G- 30   Comp/G- 17.5]

Rush: 54 Carries   343 Yards   6.4 Avg   2 TD   4 Fumbles   2 Lost

TD/Game- 1.64   Int&Fum/Game- 1.1

 

Recievers:

1. T. Gonzalez (12th).....96 Rec......1058 Yards.....10 TD

2. D. Bowe (18th)...........86..............1022.................7

3. M. Bradley...................30...............380...................3

4. J. Charles...................27...............272...................1

 

I am definitely more impressed by Tyler Thigpen's performance than I am by Cassel's.  The results are consistently close but Thigpen had MUCH less help around him.  Although if Cassel EARNS the starting position and winds up being the franchise QB we desperately need, that's awesome. 

I don't like using the win column when comparing these 2 QBs, espescially based on 1 season.  As I said before (sorry NE Silver), Cassel took over a team that went undefeated until the Super Bowl.  How many records did they break?  Thigpen took over a team that won 4 Games the entire previous season.  He wasn't even the #2 guy on the depth chart.


This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Arrowhead Pride's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Arrowhead Pride writers or editors.

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so does this mean

Tom Brady really isn’t that good either? Is he a product of that system? You still gotta make the throws.

Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day.
Harry S. Truman

by kcguy on Mar 2, 2009 9:41 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

+1

exactly. On cassels highlights he makes all the throws and yeah maybe he’ll get a good run after catch by Welker or a good catch by Moss on a deep ball, but he still makes the throws. What people forget is we have some pretty damn good receivers in Bowe and Gonzalez too.

by SayHeyWerd on Mar 2, 2009 9:47 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Are you Serious?!

they’re yards per attempt are damn near identical! MC= 7.11, TT= 6.72. And there’s a 5% difference in they’re passing percentage.

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 2, 2009 10:06 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

what i'm saying is

find me any great quarterback and i’ll show you a great supporting cast. cassel has the ability to play a more conventional style qb and thigpen doesn’t. you should look up the thigpen’s rating by quarter and compare it to cassel’s. thigpen got worse as the game went on, every game. he’s not terrible but cassel has a lot more upside and 10 wins as a starter (10 times as many as thigpen)

Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day.
Harry S. Truman

by kcguy on Mar 2, 2009 10:13 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

So did our D....

And none of those arguments work. So thiggy didn’t have the cast, opponents made adjustments and and we didn’t, and why does he have “a lot more upside”? Because you say he does? Or because his team won 8 more games? I don’t by that.

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 2, 2009 10:21 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

clearly you believe thigpen is somehow better

and because of that, i’m forever grateful you aren’t in charge of personnel. good players can make plays all game long. he couldn’t. tell me, if he couldn’t get the ball to moss or welker, would they be pro bowlers? you make it sound like anyone could do it. i doubt thigpen would have put up great numbers in NE because he can’t play under center

Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day.
Harry S. Truman

by kcguy on Mar 2, 2009 10:27 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I love when some assumes and uses it as an argument

and yes, thigpen could get it to Welker and Moss. Why? Because he got it to TG enough times for him to be 12th (of 9 guys) in receptions. AND Bowe & TG BOTH got more receptions than MOSS!

I never said he is better. I said I was more impressed. YOU clearly think Cassel is better than he has PROVEN to be.

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 2, 2009 10:39 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

well 10 wins is a lot of proof

plus i like thigpen. i would have been a lot more impressed if we didn’t have to run some version of a college offense for him to be successful. i am pretty sure NE didn’t change their offensive philosophy at all for cassel. but i’ll defer to NE silver on that. thigpen still needs a lot more work is all i’m saying which is why i believe cassel’s upside is higher. he can do it in a conventional offense now and make ALL the throws (including the deep ball) and i’m sure he won’t just lock into tony g on every play and try to force things.

Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day.
Harry S. Truman

by kcguy on Mar 2, 2009 10:44 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Did you not see welker's receptions?

We 2 Top 20 Receivers, man! And no, they didn’t change they’re offense…. because they already ran the same one we switched to. They actually toned down their offense (at first) to help Cassel, not OPEN IT UP like we did for Thigpen. NE doesn’t run a “conventional” offense, just like Arizona or Indianapolis. Why do you think Welker (a slot reciever) led in receptions (and 9th overall)? Oh, and the “deep ball” comment? Who was NE’s #3 reciever? Faulk.

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 2, 2009 10:59 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

what does the 3rd receiver have to do with a deep ball?

They didn’t run the same offense as us. what i mean by conventional is that not every snap is from the shotgun. it’s pretty common knowledge that thigpen struggles throwing the deep ball. i guess i can’t figure out the rest of what you’re trying to say. you are getting a little defensive about this. i’m all for having competition and may the better qb win. i just think the better qb is cassel and if he goes down, we have a serviceable backup

Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day.
Harry S. Truman

by kcguy on Mar 2, 2009 11:14 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Faulk

He’s a Running Back…. Welker is a Slot…. those aren’t deep ball routes.

Matt Cassel Big Play passes-23
Thigpen- 19
(i don’t know what qualified in this case though) still only a difference of 4

But even better:
Yards AFTER Catch-
Cassel (#1 in AFC, #3 NFL) – 2116 yds
Thigpen (#14 AFC, not in NFL top 20)- 1101
http://sports.iwon.com/nfl/stats/league/ydsaftercatchqbs.html
2116 of his 3693 yards (57) were after the catch. Thigpen’s was 42

Thigpen had 4 less “Big Plays” while having 1/2 (1015 less) as many yards produced after the catch….

I’m not getting defensive, I’m just trying to show facts to disprove when people make assumptions. That was my ENTIRE point of the post.

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 2, 2009 11:54 PM CST up reply actions   1 recs

YAC

Would you not agree that having more YAC means you are throwing a near perfect pass?
The problem with Thigpen’s deep ball was that the receiver usually ended up having to change his route to catch it. Many times Thigpen overthrew the receiver completely or placed it out of bounds.

I honestly didn’t want Cassel, but if Pioli (who drafted him and has worked with him for the past 4 years) believes that he is worth getting on the team. Then I’m going to cheer for him to be successful.

I’d really prefer not to have the first year of the new regime look like a couple of space cadets, and suck worst then the last several years.

by Bra on Mar 3, 2009 10:29 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

No I wouldn't

Recievers’ Yards after Catch does NOT mean the QB put the ball in the perfect place. It may have been a factor but it is NOT the reason.

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 3, 2009 12:36 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

it is not an assumption

to say that thigpen struggles throwing the deep ball and each game he got worse by quarter. those are facts. the the about “facts” are anyone can present them in a manner which serves their point. i’m also not assuming that tyler thigpen locks in on tony g just about every play and that isn’t what a good quarterback should do as evidence by the yac comparison you just posted. if you throw to someone who is open, they can continue to run down the field. i’m curious what assumptions you think i’m making. i simply have a belief that cassel is a more polished qb than thigpen, right now. can he develop? sure. will he? who knows? like i said, when they are throwing to the same guys and running the same offense, we’ll see who is better. until then, all we have are opinions about the “facts” as we see them

Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day.
Harry S. Truman

by kcguy on Mar 3, 2009 11:14 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Watch his throw at 4:05

Play starts at 4:05. He delivers this ball perfectly. He throws it behind the reciever it may not go for as much.

There are a lot of swing passes on here that go for huge gains but there are also some pinpoint passes that big gains grow out of.

Look I loved Thigpen. I wanted him to be our QB. I estimate he should have had at least 3 or 4 more wins but got screwed because of our defense.

If Cassel fails, he’ll get his chance again. But Cassel jus thas a more impressive resume. The NFL is about wins. Period. It isn’t always fair but it is the way it is.

Paddy

by Patrick Allen on Apr 2, 2009 8:11 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

No one mentions

Cassels 3 or 4 years with a clipboard learning the game from Pats coaches and working together with a future HOFer. He is far more experienced in the NFL than Thiggy.

I really like Bones, and I hope we use him creatively next season.

Facts are stubborn things, but statistics are more pliable. Mark Twain

by Chiefho on Mar 2, 2009 10:28 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

So sitting on the bench brings you more experience?

And throwing 33 passes in a College Football CAREER = more experience
over a guy who Started 4 less NFL games and 4 more YEARS of College.

So just being around a guy makes you better?

Then why isn’t Huard our Franchise QB?? He spent 3 years behind Brady AND 3 years behind DAN MARINO!

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 3, 2009 12:51 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

He said experience in the NFL

And sitting on the pine for 3 years behind Brady IS better PRO experience than sitting on the bench for one season behind Huard, Croyle, ex, and with our garbage offensive coaches in ’07.

Its not the only factor, clearly, you have to have talent as well, and not be 36, the two reasons Huard isn’t our franchise QB, but its just another plus.

by kcsno56 on Mar 3, 2009 3:10 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Joe Maontana

Had some decent QB’s coem out from under him on the depth chart, didn’t he?

Paddy

by Patrick Allen on Apr 2, 2009 8:13 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

2000 New England Patriots

(Bledsoe)
5-11-0, Off Rank =22nd, Passing= 19th, Total Yards= 4,571, Off Pts= 25th, Def= 20th, Def Yds= 5353

2001 (Brady)
11-5-0, Off Rank= 19th, Passing= 22nd, Total Yards= 4,882, Off Pts= 6th, Def= 24th, Def Yds= 5352, Super Bowl Champs

Same Support, Different Results.

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 2, 2009 10:02 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Dear lord

Is that Deltha O’Neal listed as a Pro Bowler? Listen, he may have chased down that one guy in the Kansas City game to save a touchdown, but he sure as hell didn’t play like a Pro Bowler for us last season.

by NESilver on Mar 2, 2009 9:50 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

take one away if you want!

AND that’s only who played 10 games. We still only had 3. He’s still a 2 time pro-bowler.

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 2, 2009 10:09 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Does a Pro Bowl punter count, too?

I mean, Hanson? Really? ;)

O’Neal may be a 2 time Pro Bowler, but there’s a reason why he was cut from the Bengals. It’s also why he was being replaced by Terrence Wheatley midseason, until Wheatley went on IR. Believe me, I wish I could say he played well for us (and there were short spurts here and there), but the truth is… he really didn’t.

by NESilver on Mar 2, 2009 10:20 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

you had one

and we didn’t. Colquit missed a lot of games too, and when he came back he wasn’t NEARLY the same. Do you want me to add the other pro bowlers who didn’t play 9 or 10 games? We haven’t even touched on coaching caliber comparisons…. You’re getting really nit-picky instead of heeding the point. I accepted your “not the same team” theory, even though I could find a lot of evidence that you are.

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 2, 2009 10:25 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I know I'm being nit-picky.

I’m being tonge-in-cheek about Hanson, but I’m dead serious about O’Neal.

And, quite frankly, I don’t find Pro Bowls to be an accurate measure of a player’s real worth, so I find the whole thing to be moot (even though I understand the point behind it – which I’ve already accepted, so there’s nothing to really argue here).

by NESilver on Mar 2, 2009 10:28 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Thigpen is also a product of the system.

Saying the arguement against Cassel being a good QB is that he’s a product of NEs system is ridiculous. Cassel stepped into the offense that was being run by his team. They changed nothing for him and he played very well.

The Chiefs had to completely implement a new offense during the season to make Thigpen statistically successful. If anyone is a product of the systems it’s Thigpen.

Now I do cut Thiggy some slack for not producing wins. He was surrounded by players who didn’t know how to win. Cassel was surrounded by players who do. If you put Thigpen in NE and Cassel in KC last year the records might not have been much different.

The reason Cassel has more upside that Thiggy comes down to how they performed in these systems. Thigpen was erratic with his accuracy and had a tendency to lock on to his primary receiver. Cassel worked through complex receiver progressions to find the open man. The result was a much higher completion percentage which is the best indicator of future success for a QB.

Does this mean Thigpen can’t develop into a good QB? No. Dos this mean Cassel is certain to become a franchise QB? No. But, it odes change the success ceiling that each player has. Cassel has the tools to become one of the better QBs in the league. He is performing at a higher level than Thigpen at similar stages in their development. He reads defenses more accurately and delivers passes accordingly.

I like Thigpen. I really do. I hope we keep him. But the only QB controversy is in the stands. The professional talent evaluators already know who our starter is.

by KCSatchmo on Mar 2, 2009 10:59 PM CST reply actions   1 recs

I agree

I give Thigpen credit for using his strengths and those of the players around him. Thiggy used his legs to extend plays long enough to either throw one up for Bowe to go get or riffled one into TG in double coverage. Now thats great, it moved the ball and put up some points. However, I have a hard time building our franchise around a guy that has yet to show the ability to walk up to the line of scrimmage, read the defense, and deliver the ball to the receiver who’s route fits a hole in the coverage.

Ten sacks in a season! For crying out loud that's what I used to average per game using DT in Tecmo Bowl!

by KCporkchop on Mar 2, 2009 11:10 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't understand this argument

and I hear it everywhere, so not picking on just you KCporkchop.

Now thats great, it moved the ball and put up some points, but….

the offense…. worked…. that’s why we used it! If he was able to score points without doing it from under center — why do you need him under center?

the performance enhancing drugs argument begins with lassic eye surgery

by nayjevin on Mar 3, 2009 4:15 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Because

it limits his upside. What if TG is traded or get hurt? If he can’t read defenses and hit WR in their routes there is very little the offense can do. IMO the success we had was because we had a creative OC, a hall of fame TE, and a physically gifted WR. Thigpen benefited from their abilities, and again I give him credit, but it still wasn’t enough to win games. If we had a quarterback with the abilities I listed before we have more options in the passing game which will keep defenses guessing and hopefully open things up some for the run game.

Ten sacks in a season! For crying out loud that's what I used to average per game using DT in Tecmo Bowl!

by KCporkchop on Mar 3, 2009 11:19 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

should be "gets"

Ten sacks in a season! For crying out loud that's what I used to average per game using DT in Tecmo Bowl!

by KCporkchop on Mar 3, 2009 11:19 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

it limits his upside.

that’s a good argument – I agree with that.

IMO the success we had was because we had a creative OC, a hall of fame TE, and a physically gifted WR.

ya, we still have all those things, though. I understand the ‘what if’ argument, but I doubt that Thigpen’s numbers would drop any more with TG going out than any other quarterback’s would. Every quarterback we’ve ever had relied on TG – and they should – that’s what we want – I don’t see having gifted players around him as a criticism.

Now, if you truly believe that a quarterback cannot be successful enough to win a super bowl from the shotgun only, fine — but I completely disagree. I believe a very shitty offense can win a super bowl. So my biggest argument for Thiggy over Cassel is price — I think Cassel’s a better prospect, but I have no reason to believe the QB position needed an upgrade in order to be able to win a super bowl. Next year, if Thigs had no improvement after a full year starting (he sure showed improvement through the year last year) is when I would make the decision.

If there are designs to run some wildcat, though, the Cassel trade becomes much more intriguing to me.

Don’t get me wrong — I like Cassel, a lot — and I love the trade if I’m a Chief OR Patriot fan, but I also believe 100% spread offense could easily be the best in the league — and with good talent around him at less expensive positions, I think thiggy’s ceiling is high enough to take a team to a Super Bowl, so I wouldn’t have upgraded there yet.

the performance enhancing drugs argument begins with lassic eye surgery

wanna play better pool? http://www.sticksandstonesbilliards.com

by nayjevin on Mar 5, 2009 11:24 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

+1

every qb is a product of the system

Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day.
Harry S. Truman

by kcguy on Mar 2, 2009 11:16 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

exactly

and look what Thigpen did in his system.

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 2, 2009 11:28 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I didn't mean system

Wrong choice of words. I meant his surroundings.

Chiefs didn’t just adjust for Thigpen. They adjusted to THE TEAM. The fact the our Line couldn’t protect the QB and that LJ wasn’t in the line-up anymore had just as much to do with it. It worked so we stuck w/ it.

Didn’t adjust?
2007 Patriots:
PASSING (Comp-Att-Int-Avg) 403 – 586 – 9 – 8.3
RUSHING (Plays-Average Yards) 451 – 4.1
TOTAL PASSING YARDS 4731
TOTAL RUSHING YARDS 1849

2008:
PASSING (Comp-Att-Int-Avg) 339 – 534 – 11 – 7.1
RUSHING (Plays-Average Yards) 513 – 4.4
TOTAL PASSING YARDS 3569
TOTAL RUSHING YARDS 2278

Kansas City:
2007
PASSING (Comp-Att-Int-Avg) 335 – 563 – 20 – 6.3
RUSHING (Plays-Average Yards) 383 – 3.3
TOTAL PASSING YARDS 3181
TOTAL RUSHING YARDS 1248
TOUCHDOWNS 24

2008
PASSING (Comp-Att-Int-Avg) 310 – 541 – 16 – 6.2
RUSHING (Plays-Average Yards) 379 – 4.8
TOTAL PASSING YARDS 3129
TOTAL RUSHING YARDS 1810
TOUCHDOWNS 35

Looks like there was a bigger difference between the Pat’s 2 seasons vs ours..

Again, I like Cassel. I argued from the very start HE’S THE GUY WE SHOULD GO AFTER. (look at my post history). I’m just not rolling out the thrown for the guy. Also, did you not read the post? Look at the numbers…. He is not “light years” ahead of Thigpen (yet). He very well could be the man and I HOPE SO.

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 2, 2009 11:24 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I agree with you dude

Cassel isn’t light years ahead of Bones but he has potential to be great. On the other side so does Bones. I say let the 2 battle it out in camp and may the best QB for our team win. That’s my vote.

by scharny on Mar 2, 2009 11:27 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Thank You!

That’s exactly what I’ve been trying to say. But everyone has been taking it like i’m pro-Thigpen. I’m not. I’m just not “hail-Cassel!”

It’s just funny to me cuz i’m trying to make my case w/ facts and everyone’s arguing w/ opinions.

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 2, 2009 11:31 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

i hear you about facts but

it’s all pretty irrelevant until we see them throwing to the same receivers and running the same offense with the same coaching. so until it’s apples to apples, it will only be opinions about whatever facts are presented

Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day.
Harry S. Truman

by kcguy on Mar 2, 2009 11:35 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

This from the kcguy who said...
and because of that, i’m forever grateful you aren’t in charge of personnel. good players can make plays all game long. he couldn’t. tell me, if he couldn’t get the ball to moss or welker, would they be pro bowlers? you make it sound like anyone could do it. i doubt thigpen would have put up great numbers in NE because he can’t play under center

And then you wonder why I seem “defensive”

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 2, 2009 11:58 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

and i still wonder =)

but the point is simply, i doubt anything he could of done with the patriots would impress you because you will look at what tom brady did the year before and assume if someone puts up good numbers on that team it will be because everyone else is good and not because it takes a certain level of skill from cassel as well. i know you’re trying to say that thigpen put up similar numbers on a bad team but it wasn’t devoid of offensive playmakers. when i watch them play, my opinion at this time is that cassel is further along in his development and doesn’t make as many poor decisions and poor throws as thigpen does…that’s all i’m saying

Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day.
Harry S. Truman

by kcguy on Mar 3, 2009 11:22 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Not because Brady had a 1 good season before

but that he had 7 great seasons.

And because of Bledsoe’s production the 7 years before that.
And because the Patriot’s have had over 3000 passing yards every season since 1993.

So yeah, I’m a liitle hesitant to say it was ALL Matt Cassel.

I’m sure it does take a certain level of talent it is the NFL. But it has yet to be proven that you can’t just plug someone in and they won’t throw 3000 yards in the last 15 years.

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 3, 2009 1:08 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

did i say

it was all matt cassel? it never is all one person or another in football. since 93 ne has started the season with only 2 different starting qb’s in bledsoe and brady, both of whom are super bowl qb’s so it’s fair to say they may have something to do with 15 straight years of 3000 yard passing seasons. that argument is like saying because trent green threw for a lot of yards for 5 years anyone in kc could do it. sounds pretty foolish to me.

Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day.
Harry S. Truman

by kcguy on Mar 3, 2009 1:37 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

actully those 2 comparisons sound nothing a like

nice try though. (did you really just compare 5 years to 15 years?)

Fine man, crown Matt Cassel as the next Tom Brady or Drew Bledsoe for that matter, after 1 season in his entire life if you want to. I’m not. I just showed why.

I hope he is. My ENTIRE argument was he wasn’t anymore impressive this year than Tyler Thigpen. If you caught Total Access this morning Terrel Davis agrees w/ me.

Trent Green had a pro-bowl O-line (just like the patriots) and an entirely different Head Coach and Offensive Coordinator than Thigpen. Green Had Vermeil. Thigpen had Edwards. Patriots had Parcells, Carol and Billicheck. Parcells started what year??? 1993.
If any one deserves the label of fool…

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 3, 2009 1:54 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

parcells, caroll and bellichick

are all defensive minded head coaches so to say that somehow they would be responsible for creating some badass offense is not a good argument. in fact, carroll failed pretty bad in the nfl. my comparison is that essentially two qb’s over 15 years have put up good numbers for them. that hardly means anyone could do it. your argument is about an opinion you have tried to skew with stats. being impressive isn’t as important as being effective, to me anyways but since the great sage that is terrell davis has spoken, who am i to argue. once again, no need to become so defensive. it’s ok if i believe that cassel’s performance is more “impressive” than thigpen’s was. relax man, i see your point. i just don’t agree with it

Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day.
Harry S. Truman

by kcguy on Mar 3, 2009 2:11 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

obviosly you don't

what opinion did I skew w/ facts?
My opinion is that Matt Cassel should not be given any advantage over Tyler Thigpen as the Starting Quarter Back for the Chiefs.
Facts are Facts. I created an entire list of direct numbers that show how close the 2 sets of numbers are while being in 2 totally different situations. I didn’t skew anything. I didn’t leave anything out other than the games the 2 QBs did not start.

When Cassel consistently puts up 3500 yard seasons and perennially takes us to the playoffs then I will say he is the real thing.

How were they not responsible? They run the team. 1993 Parcells took over. 1993 started their 15 year streak of 3000 yards passing. Pete Carrol coached 4 seasons (64-33) 3 w/ the patriots (48-27). Division Champ 1 0f 4 seasons, playoffs 2 of 4. What are you basing his failure on? Just more opinions you are trying to facade as fact.

You miss the point everytime to try and find some item you can argue with.

IT SHOULD BE A FAIR COMPETITION. That is my only opinion on this matter.

"Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it's time to pause and reflect." - Mark Twain

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 3, 2009 3:37 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

you like numbers

Carroll’s record overall in the nfl is 33-31 not 64-33 (by your math they would need to play 24.25 games per season to get to 97 games in 4 years)
here are some more stats to consider
rating by 1st half
cassel 94.1 and thigpen 87.2
rating by 2nd half
cassel 84.7 and thigpen 65.4
4th quarter rating
cassel 73.4 and thigpen 62.6
qb rating while in shotgun
cassel 89.7 and thigpen 68.3
% of 1st downs while passing on 3rd down
cassel 47.1% and thigpen 36.4%
wins
cassel 10 and thigpen 1

so based on these stats, who do you want to have the ball when the game’s on the line?

i know you will discount the wins but my argument is that all cassel has known in his nfl career is winning and when he got the chance to play, he won. all thigpen has known is losing and when he got the chance to play, he lost. it takes more than talent around you to win and having a guy who knows what it takes to win is huge.

also, with a statement like “when cassel consistently puts up 3500 yard seasons and perennially takes us to the playoffs, then i will say he’s the real thing.” shouldn’t you say the same about thigpen?

lastly, i have stated many times that i’m in favor of a competition but i believe cassel will win the competition.

Never kick a fresh turd on a hot day.
Harry S. Truman

by kcguy on Mar 3, 2009 6:37 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

The Packers

Look at the Packers this year? Same team, didn’t do so hot as when they had Bret Favre. One guy, especially the QB can make a big diff.

Paddy

by Patrick Allen on Apr 2, 2009 8:20 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Of course there was a bigger difference.

Cassel was trying to duplicate the numbers of Tom Brady coming off the greatest statistical season in NFL history. Thigpen was trying to live up to the performance of Damon Huard.

The point is that the Patriots didn’t change the offense to accomodate Cassel. He just could execute it as well as Brady. The Chiefs installed an entirely new offense to utilize Thigpen’s skills. Nothing wrong with that and anyone who wants to marry themselves to his skillset is entitled to their opinion. (Even if that’s not how you feel)

He is “light years” ahead of Thigpen with regards to the WAY he got to the numbers you keep throwing at us. He did it by making good reads and throwing with accuracy. This is what great QBs do. Cassel may never be great or even good as our QB. But he has shown the potential to be one of the best. All Thigpen has shown is an ability to be the next Rich Gannon or Doug Flutie. Fine QBs both and worthy of respect as players. but no one will ever mistake them for Tom Brady or Peyton Manning.

Maybe Thigpen can learn to read defenses, improve his throwing mechanics and pass accurately. But the need to learn those things has him behind Cassel in this stage of their development.

by KCSatchmo on Mar 2, 2009 11:46 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

This is why I keep giving you numbers

Why? his accuracy wasn’t any better. There was a much bigger difference between their #1 and #2 but you said he makes better progressions (his #3 was faulk aka a check down read).

The point of showing the 2 seasons was to show that NE threw the ball 52x less (KC threw 22x less), ran 62x more (KC 4x less), gained 1162 passing yards LESS (KC actually gained 52 less) and ran for 429 yards more (KC 562 more) but you say they didn’t adjust to Cassel but we changed EVERYTHING. We actually were just more efficient this year.

We threw less than last year and ran the same amount. But we scored 11 more TD’s.

They Made A Much Bigger Adjustment.

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 3, 2009 12:13 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

His accuracy is MUCH better

Its not close.

First of all, I don’t agree with choosing just games he started to compare stats…for the season he was 54.8, which is poor (about the same as most everyones least fav QB, Michael Vick)…but fine, if we’re going to take just the stats of him starting, 5 is still a BIG difference in completion percentage.

It may help to look at other QB’s stats as a frame of reference for some of these stats.

Cassel was 14th in the league in y/a, Thigpen was 29th, behind (cough) Dan Orlovsky.

Cassel was 11th in completion %, Thigpen was 30th, again, just behind…Dan Orlovsky.

I’m glad these stats were pointed out earlier, b/c they are probably the two most important in evaluating an NFL QB.

http://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2008/passing.htm

Thigpen was anything but accurate, anyone who watched him play could see this, it was hard to watch at times, and this was in an offense that was catered to his talents.

Look…I appreciate the Thigpen fans…honestly, I’m a little shocked at some of your passion, impressed, but shocked…but its time to get over the idea that he has a shot to be the starter here. Barring injury, its Cassel’s job.

The only real chance Thigpen would have would be if somehow Pioli can’t get Cassel to sign long-term, and then he struggles next season. Then in ‘10, he could get a shot, but I don’t think any of us would want to see that happen.

by kcsno56 on Mar 3, 2009 12:47 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Here's the thing

I was never arguing Thigpen should be the starter. Just that it shouldn’t be handed to Cassel. That’s fine that you don’t think it’s fair to use only his stats as a starter. However, I do. He played in games that started with him being #3. Only fair way to judge how Thigpen would fair as a starting QB is to judge his as a starter.

Did you see the part that showed Cassel threw 3.2 more passes per game and completed 3.4 more passes per game. I know this is an assumption but if Thigpen threw 3 more passes per game and completed each of them… their percentage (as starters) would have been the same. 3 more passes. That’s 1 more set of downs.

It’s way different preparing for a game taking the snaps w/ the guys you play with vs maybe running the scout team….

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 3, 2009 1:00 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

lets go with one more stat

Number times sacked:

Thigpen – 26

Cassel – 47

by oldchiefsfan on Mar 3, 2009 1:06 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

wait a sec

%‘s are %’s. If he threw more times a game, you can’t argue that his completion % would go up, that makes no sense.

IF he’s signed to a long term deal, he will be handed the job. You can think its wrong, but I’m going with Pioli on this one.

by kcsno56 on Mar 3, 2009 1:09 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

And even if we use your #'s just as a starter

TT ranks 27th in completion % and 22nd in ypa.

by kcsno56 on Mar 3, 2009 1:14 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

it does

if you go 3 for 3 (=100%) your % will go up. The point was to show that the difference between their %’s was 3 passes per game.

3 for 10 = 30%
6 for 13 = 46%
get it?

It’s cool if NO ONE agrees w/ me. @ least have a valid argument if you’re gonna try to call me out.

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 3, 2009 1:33 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

this argument only works for a pro set
But the need to learn those things has him behind Cassel in this stage of their development.

If we run the arrowspread, Cassel needs to learn Thiggy’s skills to catch up to his ’stage of development. So to argue that Thiggy needs to learn pro-set skills to be as effective a quarterback is a narrow view IMO. Each quarterback, when used in the best system for them, might gain the same # of wins.

It comes down to talent evaluation, and who gives you the best chance to win right now – just like Haley has been saying. If we end up with Arrowspread personnel, and need a more mobile quarterback to give us the best chance to win, Thiggy would be that guy, it seems. If we end up pounding the rock in an I formation, Cassel seems more suited.

the performance enhancing drugs argument begins with lassic eye surgery

by nayjevin on Mar 3, 2009 4:21 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

+100

though, i still haven’t seen that cassel has ran a power offense. Everyone seems to forget the the Patriots also ran a spread offense.

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 3, 2009 1:10 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

tru tru

the performance enhancing drugs argument begins with lassic eye surgery

wanna play better pool? http://www.sticksandstonesbilliards.com

by nayjevin on Mar 5, 2009 11:27 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Whatever the compaison

Lets face it, having this debate about who is better is a pretty good position to be in after the Croyle experiment last year!

by smokin Jake on Mar 2, 2009 11:40 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Amen...

and good riddance to that fragile pansy.

by KCSatchmo on Mar 2, 2009 11:48 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I know, man

My entire point was lost. I was trying to say neither was better. I was just more impressed by Thigpen (i guess i shoulda left that part out).

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 3, 2009 12:14 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Fantasy Football Hero Thippio

Look, we like Bones, but there’s definitely a KC lovable loser mentality that goes on here. Part of Thig’s statistical dynamism is that our offense effectively became completely passing after the spread was implemented. You want to tell us that Tony Gonzalez did not pull down a boatload of questionable passes last season?

The counter to the “system” argument is also, how many players do you think stepped up their game for the Pats and had seen the same offense with Tom Brady the year before; as opposed to the players that saw Chiefs’ week as a “W” and had never heard of the “arrowspread” before the week they played us?

Arguably a lot of Thigpen’s “finishing” deficiency falls on Herm, but you could also say that a lot of those NE wins could would have been losses with a lesser QB?

Also, 99% of the rest of the NFL and the media would say there’s no question, not that their right, but let’s not overly fall in love with Bones because he was the one redeeming factor of an otherwise abismal season.

by Official Arrowhead Pride Parade on Mar 3, 2009 12:47 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Still don't know where people get their facts from.

Damon Huard 2007- 332 Attempts in 11 games

Tyler Thigpen 2008- 330 Attempts in 11 games

How many TG “pulled down” MIGHT be equal to the number of D. Bowe’s (#2 in NFL) drops…. I don’t know.

I know that Castle is the favorite. My point is that I’m not ready to buy the hype yet. Why is that so hard. I don’t understand the argument with that. That’s fine if you do, I was just showing the comparisons. Just nobody can show me evidence of their opinion.

For the 1000th time. I’m not saying Thigpen should start. I’m saying Cassel has to win the job not be handed it. And again, I said I wanted Castle as soon as I learned he was a Free Agent this year. I had an argument back in January on AP saying we SHOULD go after Cassel and people were telling me we need to stay w/ Thigpen. They were saying its the “Grbac vs Gannon” situation again.

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 3, 2009 1:26 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

That was meant as a reply...I think a lot of people have shown you evidence

And you may not want to see it.

Mine is 14th in the NFL in y/a, vs. 29th.

And 11th in completion % vs. 30th.

or by your #’s, 14th vs. 22nd in y/a and 11th vs. 27th.

by kcsno56 on Mar 3, 2009 1:35 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

of Huard's 11 games, he started 10 of them.

Thigpen’s are based on the 11 he started.

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 3, 2009 1:35 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I think a lot of people have shown you evidence

And you may not want to see it.

Mine is 14th in the NFL in y/a, vs. 29th.

And 11th in completion % vs. 30th.

or by your #’s, 14th vs. 22nd in y/a and 11th vs. 27th.

by kcsno56 on Mar 3, 2009 1:34 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

And what do those #'s mean?

Not a lot.

Mine #’s YPA= 7.11 vs 6.72 a WHOPPING .39 yards per attempt.

Season Total YPA= 7.11 vs 6.2 = .91 yards. (still less than 1 yard)

That may be a 15 and/or 19 slot difference in rankings but it’s still less than a yard difference.

It’s not like those are “my” numbers. Those are Thigpen’s AND Cassel’s #s as a starting QB. If you’d notice I did do the same thing w/ Cassel.

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 3, 2009 1:46 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Actually those #'s mean everything

I’m not sure you realize how big a difference .91 yards per attempt is, but its huge, I’ll try one more time to put it into context.

Tied with Cassel in ypa is Payton Manning.

Tied with Thigpen in ypa is Mark Bulger.

And you (wisely) gave up on completion %, which is my biggest argument against Thigpen, as it directly relates to accuracy.

Of those qualifying as a starter, he had the 3rd worst completion % in the NFL. Just ahead of JaMarcus Russell and just behind Dan Orlovsky.

Not sure how much you follow the rest of the league, but Orlovsky, Bulger and Russell…well, to be really nice, had poor seasons.

Again, Cassel was 11th in completion %, and if you look at those that finished ahead of him, they are some of the best QB’s in the league, the one exception probably being Trent Edwards.

I’m moving on, b/c its clear that no amount of stats are going to convince you, as you continue to say things like:

Just nobody can show me evidence of their opinion.


I have given you evidence, you choose to discount it, thats fine, I have a feeling Pioli will agree with me, but we’ll see.

by kcsno56 on Mar 3, 2009 10:20 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I've argued before

that % is very subjective. Unless you factor things like drops, throw away’s, spikes, down & distance, number of passes thrown, types of the catches, personnel and a hundred other things you can’t really compare 1 QB’s passing % to another in a single season. So no, less than 5% is not that big of a deal to me. Don’t forget that Bowe was #2 in the league with drops. With the exception of Cleveland and Denver, that’s more than any other 2 players (combined).

My argument is comparing the 2 QB’s as starters. That equaled .39 yards less per attempt. That’s the distance of the ground to your knee! So again, not impressive. Especially when you add 168 more attempts and that your Recievers gained more yards after the catch than any others in the AFC and 3rd in the NFL.

So Matt Cassel has earned the starting role because he has a less than 5% better passing percentage and gains 4/10 of 3ft more with each pass attempt.

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 3, 2009 1:28 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

COMPLETION percentage

I assume that’s what you’re referring to when you say passing percentage, is that over time, QB’s completion %’s are relatively stable, which would make your negate your argument that it has to do mostly with other factors. Who do you think had to spike the ball more often? Probably the guy playing more in closer games, which was Cassel. The point is, those things even themselves out.

Yes, he’s earned the job over Cassel b/c he is more accurate, he was the 11th most accurate QB in the League, and Thigpen was the 30th most accurate, or 3rd worst.

These stats don’t lie. Even if you want to use his #‘s as a starter, he’s 27th in completion %. That’s still terrible and its with you handpicking his #’s.

You also don’t seem to understand %‘s or averages very well. For instance, 168 more attempts has NOTHING to do with your average yard per attempt. NOTHING. You need to quit using this rationale, b/c it doesn’t make sense. If you’re going to use %‘s, you have to use those %’s. When you say things like, if he threw 3 more times and completed all 3 of those, the %’s would be closer…well, yeah, of course, but thats NOT what happened, this is make believe, like your projections below.

How about this, can you at least admit that you wouldn’t want Orlovsky, Russell or Bulger starting over Cassel? Those are the guys that are the closest to him in Y/A, completion % and QB Rating (Russell again).

I’m not at all convinced Cassel is the 2nd coming, that would be an argument that would be easy to make, but trying to statistically show that Thigpen was close to Cassel last season…sorry, but this is impossible…I guess unless you make up the #’s.

by kcsno56 on Mar 3, 2009 2:56 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I know this is a stretch but whatever

Since everyone seems to be projecting who will be better (again my argument is they are both on even ground) then I’m gonna do a projection.

…………………Tyler Thigpen…………………………..Cassel’s Actual…………………………………….Difference
………….Projected to 15 Starts
Games………….. 15………………………………………………..15…………………………………………………….0
Comp……………263……………………………………………..314……………………………………………………51 (advantage MC)
Att………………….450……………………………………………..498……………………………………………………48 (MC)
Yds……………….3023………………………………………….3541…………………………………………………518 (MC)
%………………….58.3…………………………………………….63.1………………………………………………….4.8 (MC)
Rating………….87.1……………………………………………..88.4…………………………………………………1.3 (MC)
TD…………………25…………………………………………………..20……………………………………………………5 (TT)
INT………………..11…………………………………………………..11……………………………………………………0

Cassel still would have thrown the ball more (which accounts for most of the yards) which contradicts the argument that the Chiefs threw more.

offense effectively became completely passing after the spread was implemented.

Then the pats implement more than a “completely” passing offense. (and did he mean essentially or effectively? One is true and one is not)

The argument of mechanics and accuracy…. I think we all agree Phillip Rivers has neither of those. I can’t stand Rivers. But you can’t deny his numbers. He outranks Castle in EVERY statistical column (minus wins of course). I hardly EVER see him throw a good ball but you can’t say Castle is better than Phillip Rivers (though God do I hope he will be). So you can’t say Cassel will be more productive because he has better form. Plus, how often did Thigpen throw on the run vs Cassel? Did we really get a fair evaluation.

I don’t get why everyone thinks i’m delusional or something. (besides this projection) I used only ACTUAL numbers. I’m not a talent scout (and as far as I know, neither are you) I just presented a case for why the starting quarterback position should be an open competition.

Also, If I hear anyone say that Cassel has proven he can play “under center” one more time, I will consider it complete ignorance until you can show me proof. As far as I’ve seen, he played from the Shotgun just as much (probably more based on attempts) as Thigpen. So if you try to make an argument, make a valid one. Don’t bring assumptions and personal opinions or ignorant claims and try to sell them as facts.

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 3, 2009 3:05 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Quickly

If you are only using ACTUAL numbers, how did you come up with the above projections?

You’ve improved all of Thigpen’s ratios. His TD/INT rate is much higher, his QB rating is higher…how are we supposed to take this seriously?

by kcsno56 on Mar 3, 2009 10:23 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I guess you missed the part that said

BESIDES THIS PROJECTION

.73 interceptions/ game x 15 games = 10.9
1.5 TD/ game x 15 games = 22 ( I did mess up that part, I included rushing TD’s/game the first time) sorry it was 1 in the morning.
His rating would actually be 84.9 (3.5 advantage, Cassel)

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 3, 2009 1:39 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

LOL

The (inaccurate) projection is the only thing that statistically makes them appear similar, so the problem with saying ‘BESIDES THIS PROJECTION’ is that its the only part of your argument that is compelling…yet its inaccurate.

I’m moving on, good luck with this.

by kcsno56 on Mar 3, 2009 2:58 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

how are 2 and 3.5 not similar

22 TD vs 20 TD (2)
84.9 vs 88.4 (3.5)

That’s close. Counting on less than 1 hand (which I hope you can do) is close.

"Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it's time to pause and reflect." - Mark Twain

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 3, 2009 4:33 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Bottom line

Cassel can win the game in the last minutes and Thiggy cant. It has been proven. Cassel came from a team with a winning mentality. The Chiefs went into evry game knowing that even if they were ahead halfway through the game, they were still going to find a way to lose. you could almost see it. (remember TB ?)
This team needs winners. Where else are you going to get a winning mentality except from a team who has won 3 super bowls in the last 9 years.

by Chiefsfan1970 on Mar 3, 2009 10:20 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

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