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Is Cassel "The Man?"

I thought I'd wait for the joy of the purported "steal" of a trade to die down before tackling this. Up to this point, I've been pretty happy for the appeared value of acquiring Cassel and Vrabel for a 2nd round pick. Also, NESilver (or KCGold to some?) has been tooting Cassel’s horn around here, which is much appreciated. We Chiefs fans want to know we got a good deal in Cassel, and coming from Patriots fans and the sport media outlets, it's hard not to believe the Chiefs got a perceived great deal on their end. But what do we have in Cassel? Was it really a good deal for the Chiefs? Let’s do a little digging around and try to find out...

Star-divide

Cassel, the savior of the last season of New England football, led the Patriots to an 11-5 season after Tom Brady’s injury in week one. For my analysis here, I’m stealing borrowing from Greg Cosell from NFL Films via SportingNews.com:

When evaluating a quarterback, it is essential to assess his play based on the way he was utilized within the framework of his team's offense. The two cannot be separated.

  Hard to argue against that, so here are the factors Greg thinks we should consider regarding Cassel's one-year performance that we can actually break down from game tape (more on this later)

There are myriad elements to consider. For instance, did he take the majority of his snaps under center or was he primarily in the shotgun? As a corollary point, what was his comfort level in each formation? Did he throw the ball predominantly out of three-step drops, five-step drops or seven-step drops? How prevalent was the team's play-action pass game? These are just a few of the many components that encompass a meticulous assessment of not just Cassel, but any quarterback.

Now this really got me thinking, just how much was Cassel under center? Also, how different was New Englands approach to football from the Chiefs? Apparently, not much. Cosell goes on to talk about a six-game strech where 88% of Cassel's passing attempts came from the shotgun formation:

I remember breaking down Cassel's third start, the Patriots' victory over the 49ers in early October. He was very mechanical and robotic in his progressions and reads. If he could determine his throw based on the pre-snap read, he made it. If he couldn't, and he had to process information as he dropped, he struggled. As a result, he did not show a lot of patience in the pocket, often moving directly into the pass rush. That's the main reason Cassel was sacked so often in the first half of the season.

Cassel's sacks have been attributed to the lackluster New England offensive line by NESilver and other Patriots fans and media. However, pocket awareness is very important, even in spread formations. Does Cassel have this so-called "sixth sense?" Can it be taught? Some say yes, but trust with your linemen knowing they're doing their job helps. But to me, that seems more of a security issue, especially on the blind side. Having the ability to keep you eyes downfield, analyzing what's happening, and being able to "feel" the pocket collapsing on your blind side, or feeling the rusher behind you is something that cannot be taught. Being comfortable in the pocket because you're surrounded by good-great linemen does not equal good pocket awareness. From Cosell:

Cassel is not an efficient passer when the pocket gets "muddied" or constricted. The velocity of his throws, slightly above average at best, decreases dramatically when he lacks that functional space.

Cosell has the ability to watch tape for a living, and has the know-how to break down what happens, I do not. I have no access to game tape outside of highlight reels. He attributes much of Cassel's success to the system the Patriots implemented around him; the spread. Early in the season, the Patriots tried using him in a more traditional offense under center much of the time, but by week 11, the spread was almost exclusively used.

So how does Cassel differ from Thigpen in this regard?

Cassel had notably better weapons to throw to than Thigpen in Moss/Welker vs. our Gonzalez/Bowe. Cassel and the Patriots used the spread with a short passing game with the intent for the receivers to get yards after the catch, much like the Chiefs did with Thigpen, Gonzalez, and Bowe. In fact, Wes Welker led the league for YAC, with Randy Moss coming in ranked 17th in the AFC. Bowe ranked 2nd in the league for dropped passes with 13 attributed to him. In YAC, Moss totaled 358 YAC, while Bowe racked up 396 YAC. A 38 yard difference. Welker's 758 YAC almost DOUBLES Bowe's YAC. Bowe was also tied for 4th in the league for passes not caught... tied with Terrel Owens. I think it's fairly safe to say that Cassel's supporting cast of wide receivers helped him achieve his success last season.

But in the preseason, there was debate on what to do with Cassel, until the last preseason game even

Based on the preseason play of the QBs, neither Cassel nor Gutierrez deserves to be Brady's apprentice. Both were unimpressive in their final auditions.

...

[Cassel] Playing with the first-team offense, which included left tackle Matt Light, who made his preseason debut, the besieged backup ended the preseason without directing the Patriots to a touchdown. He led the team to just two field goals in his 17 series under center.

More proof that Cassel excelled in a system designed for him, much like Tyler Thigpen did.

Because I don't want to be totally down on Cassel, in a quote from the combine Denver Head Coach Josh McDaniels had this to say about Cassel:

Matt Cassel is very bright. He’s very athletic. He’s got a strong, accurate arm, and he has — now — a full season of game experience under his belt," McDaniels continued. "I think we all saw how much that meant to him as the season progressed. He is a competitive player, a great person. And there’s a lot of things about Matt that are very ideal for that position — size, and all the rest of it.

I think whatever challenge Matt Cassel has in front of him — whether that be in New England or happens to be somewhere else — I think he’s going to respond to it the same way he’s responded since he walked in the door in New England, which is to meet it head-on with a great attitude, an incredible work ethic and to try to do everything he can to make himself better. So if that’s what you’re looking for in an NFL quarterback, you probably got a shot.

It's my feelings that with Cassel not having been inked to a long-term deal, and that the Chiefs are STILL so far under the cap, that he's being given a shot to show he's more than a one-year wonder. They can afford his one year salary of $14 million. The Chiefs have two similar quarterbacks in Cassel and Thigpen, and I for one think that it's a good thing. Cassel has more physical assets that scouts look for in prototypical NFL quaterbacks in his size and stature, but hasn't played the game regularly since high school before 2008. Maybe he just needs time, but I think we're going to see more of a competition in training camp than any of us previously thought... That is, unless Cassel get's that long-term deal

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Arrowhead Pride's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Arrowhead Pride writers or editors.

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Other factors involved

With Cassel, it was a baptism by fire scenario and those early games were a test of his mettle. Cosell’s points for analysis are excellent for evaluating an established QB, but I don’t know if they fully apply to Cassel’s situation, where he was coming in cold and learning on the job. His improvements over the season were a combination of the offensive system being adjusted for him and him growing more comfortable and commanding in his role and in turn trusting the players and the plan.

Even Brady had a rap when he first started for the Pats, that he couldn’t throw the long ball. Now we know that wasn’t a true assessment. Belichick, true to form, was only putting Brady in what he felt was the best position possible to succeed. It wasn’t that he couldn’t throw it, it just wasn’t in the plan in the beginning. The long-ball plays were eventually added in and the rest is history.

The one thing Cassel does have, that McDaniels noted, is “a great attitude, and incredible work ethic, [where he will] try to do everything he can to make himself better.”

Keep the faith!

by Marima on Mar 13, 2009 10:27 AM CDT reply actions  

How many young QB's

excel when the pocket is muddied and collapsing around them? I’d wager that they are few. Experience is the greatest teacher. Cassel will persevere and become what we all expect. A consistent top 5 QB.

Facts are stubborn things, but statistics are more pliable. Mark Twain

by Chiefho on Mar 13, 2009 10:33 AM CDT up reply actions  

Tyler Thigpen?

"Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it's time to pause and reflect." - Mark Twain

by Dustin SLO,CA on Mar 13, 2009 2:10 PM CDT up reply actions  

Cassel wasn't coming in cold and learning on the job.

He started at least 3 of thier preseason games, if not all of them due to Brady nursing his sore foot. Cassel was terrible in preseason, and it was his third season with the Patriots. He had time to learn the system and be able to make the reads.

With what McDaniels said, I feel that’s a glowing endorsement and ultimately what will make Cassel what everyone hopes he is. There was a quote from one of the articles I linked to from the preseason where Cassel talked about watching a lot of tape, and the reporters mentioned him coming in early as well.

All I have to say is "Thank you, Clark."

by IISaiNtII on Mar 13, 2009 10:36 AM CDT up reply actions  

Ok,

maybe I didn’t link to that one… looked at numerous reports, stories, and breakdowns. Hard to keep them all straight.

All I have to say is "Thank you, Clark."

by IISaiNtII on Mar 13, 2009 10:39 AM CDT up reply actions  

don't even look at the preseason

Belichick never gameplans for preseason matchups. He let John Lynch play an entire game because Lynch asked him to, knowing it would be his last time on the field before retirement. Also, he plays his starters as minimally as possible. It’s more about trying out the rookies and free-agents and giving them a taste of NFL game-speed. By the way, Brady wasn’t nursing any injured foot, there just wasn’t any need for him to be out there.

Keep the faith!

by Marima on Mar 13, 2009 10:44 AM CDT up reply actions  

It was their only winless preseason since 1990

I find it hard to believe Belichik doesn’t prepare for preseason games. But aside from that, it’s still about figuring out what you’re depth chart will look like and who get’s to be on the final roster. There’s quite a bit on Cassel from the media that is less than a glowing endorsement of his ablities. He did learn and get better as the season progressed, but they also changed the playcalling to suit what fitted him.

Right now, I think he’s more Tyler Thigpen than Tom Brady, he hasn’t gotten much on the field experience outside of last season.

All I have to say is "Thank you, Clark."

by IISaiNtII on Mar 13, 2009 11:03 AM CDT up reply actions  

he doesn't game plan for the specific team

which would be a bit of a waste of time if you think about it… you don’t even know which opposing players would be playing to plan your matchups for. I’m not saying there is no plan, but it’s more about evaluating your own players than anything.

Keep the faith!

by Marima on Mar 13, 2009 11:39 AM CDT up reply actions  

Media's endorsement means nothing.
There’s quite a bit on Cassel from the media that is less than a glowing endorsement of his ablities.

This reminds me of a certain preseason game (I’m having trouble remembering which one at the moment) where he had a drive that went something like 3-of-7 for however many yards. The stats didn’t look too great and the media harped on about his failure to keep the drive going. What everyone fails to mention, and what you can’t see from just looking up his stats, is that three of those passes were clear-cut drops (and, given the way many people on here stress Dwayne Bowe’s stats on drops, I think Chiefs fans know how annoying those can be).

Marima is right. Bill Belichick goes completely vanilla in preseason, and if you’d like proof, you can look up a quote from Brian Griese on the subject when the Bucs played the Pats. He specifically told reporters that our defense was completely basic, so it wasn’t hard for him to go 7-of-7 on his opening drive.

As for the offense, the Patriots didn’t run any number of plays greater than 30. A regular season game in the NFL would have well over 100. The fact is, the media assumed Matt Cassel was having a terrible preseason, but he was simply doing what Belichick asked him to.

by NESilver on Mar 13, 2009 4:26 PM CDT up reply actions  

I just remember.......

………….him coming in and winning the game against our Chief’s in the last seconds. He did pretty well for coming in off the bench as he did. I liked him then and do now.

by jcox31mc on Mar 13, 2009 11:41 AM CDT reply actions  

I seem to recall ...

that it wasn’t that hard to win against the Chiefs last season.

All I have to say is "Thank you, Clark."

by IISaiNtII on Mar 13, 2009 11:45 AM CDT up reply actions  

especially late in the second half

But I’m lookin forward to seeing him play come August.

Blame my wife!
Waiting until August!

by sir eccles on Mar 13, 2009 12:07 PM CDT up reply actions  

I'm being cautiously optimistic

All I have to say is "Thank you, Clark."

by IISaiNtII on Mar 13, 2009 12:09 PM CDT up reply actions  

Cassel and Thigpen

  
will be great backups for Brodie Croyle

by choirboy on Mar 13, 2009 5:59 PM CDT reply actions  

yeah

because they will have to take over after the first couple of plays after croyle gets hurt again.

by Grand Master A on Mar 16, 2009 4:47 PM CDT up reply actions  

Touching on sacred ground

Just thinking about Lenny Dawson and how his early career and abilities compare to Cassel and Thigpen’s. Difficult to compare but I believe Cassel for sure could have succeeded with the supporting cast Lenny had. Keep the faith, we’ll get there.

JC in KC? Never!

by ChiefSeattle on Mar 16, 2009 3:23 PM CDT reply actions  

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