FanPost

Pioli's Draft: a Four Year Retrospective

I did some research on Pioli's first 4 drafts to see if I could get a better sense of his draft-day strategy, since it is clear we are not making huge improvements in the first, second or third wave of free-agency.   What I found really answers nothing, but it was interesting nonetheless. 

Most of the Patriots draft-day trades were used to move down to get more picks, so they could move up to get specific players.   I saw no big trades down to acquire multiple high-round picks.  The Patriots made 10 draft selections 3 of the 4 years (in 2002 they made 6, but traded their third and seventh rounders to move up 11 spots for TE Daniel Graham, and traded a fifth to move up in the fourth).  The only top ten pick was used for DT Richard Seymour.

As you can see from the tables below, Pioli loves to stockpile 4th through 7th round picks to use to move up the draft board.  He will often acquire these picks by trading down in that draft, i.e. in 2001, picking up a 4th rounder by trading down 11 spots in the second round.    

As stated above, the Patriots only had one top ten pick from 2000 - 2003, and no other top ten picks until 2008. (Richard Seymour #6 in 2001 and Jerod Mayo #10 in 2008).  Seymour was chosen at New England's designated spot (while they traded down to acquire Mayo, sending their #7 and a third rounder to New Orleans for the #10 pick and a third rounder).

What's it mean?  Well... the Chiefs have 6 picks in this draft, plus any conditional picks that may come their way.  While I think the Chiefs could acquire some picks through trades, it appears my hopes for a Chiefs-Eagles trade involving TG and multiple high-round picks is increasingly unlikely.  It would seem a Seymour-esque draft pick may be more likely.  Michael Felger of WEEI 850 AM in New England had this to say about the Seymour pick...

"[New England] had needs across the board. Given where they were and the bonus money they'd be spending, it was a pick that the franchise absolutely HAD to have. And Belichick/Pioli delivered. There were seven defensive linemen drafted in the top 13 picks that year (Gerard Warren, Justin Smith, Seymour, Andre Carter, Jamal Reynolds, Damoine Lewis and Marcus Stroud) - and the Pats came away with the Hall of Famer. Remember the cries for a receiver (David Terrell/Koren Robinson) that year? The selection of Seymour was the first in a long line of tone-deaf decisions by the Pats that proved to be spot on."  

http://www.weei.com/pages/3652961.php?

This could point to Aaron Curry.  In the face of similar cries for a wide receiver (Michael Crabtree), maybe Pioli will make another "tone-deaf" pick and pick the best of the multiple linebackers in this class.  That said, when Seymour was selected in 2001, the Patriots had 4 more picks than the Chiefs, moved up and down the second and third round board, and added multiple free agents, i.e. Vrabel, Bryan Cox, Larry Izzo, David Patten, Roman Phifer, Anthony Pleasant, Antowain Smith, and  Terrell Buckley.

So then, maybe it's more likely we will trade down with someone like Cleveland, who might be willing to give up a high-round pick to move from #5 to #3 to get Curry?  Maybe we could then add Raji?  Maybe we could add a few seconds or thirds by trading TG and Brian Waters?  One would assume we are not going to add 6 more free-agents of the quality that New England added in 2001.  Presumably, Pioli will then need more than the current complement of draft picks, especially with no current second rounder.  Obviously this doesn't really answer anything, but it provides some good information.  

I include tables of Pioli's draft day trades from http://www.patriots.com:

 4/16/00

 The Patriots acquire San Francisco's 2001 sixth round pick for the Patriots' 2000 seventh round pick (212 overall - Tim Rattay, QB, Louisiana Tech) which was acquired from Philadelphia.

 8/7/00

 The Patriots acquired Dane Looker from St. Louis Rams for a sixth round draft choice in 2002.

Date

NOTES

 4/21/01

 The Patriots acquired Pittsburgh's 2001 second round (50 overall) and fourth round (112 overall) picks for the Patriots 2001 second round (39 overall - LB Kendrell Bell) pick.
The Patriots acquire Detroit's 2001 second round (48th overall - T Matt Light) pick for the Patriots 2001 second round (50 overall, from Pittsburgh) pick and sixth round (173 overall, from San Francisco) pick.
The Patriots acquire Minnesota's 2001 third round (86 overall - CB Brock Williams) pick and fourth round (119 overall - TE Jabari Holloway) pick for the Patriots third round (69 overall - DB Eric Kelly) pick.

 4/22/01

 The Patriots acquire San Diego's 2001 fourth round (96 overall - OL Kenyatta Jones) pick for the Patriots fourth round (112 overall - LB Carlos Polk) and fifth round (139 overall - LB Zeke Moreno) pick.
The Patriots acquire Detroit's 2001 sixth round (180 overall - TE Arther Love) and seventh round (216 overall - K Owen Pochman) pick for the Patriots 2001 fifth round (149 overall, from NY Jets) pick.
The Patriots acquire Jacksonville's 2002 fifth round pick for the Patriots 2001 sixth round (170th overall - G Chad Ward) pick.

Date

NOTES

 3/8/02

 The Patriots received Green Bay's fourth round draft pick (117th overall - Jarvis Green) in the 2002 draft and a conditional pick in the 2003 draft for WR Terry Glenn.

 4/20/02

 The Patriots acquired the Washington Redskins first round pick (21st overall - Daniel Graham) of the 2002 draft in exchange for their 2002 first round pick (32nd overall), third round (96th overall) and seventh round (234th overall).

 4/21/02

 The Patriots acquired the Buffalo Bills 2003 first round choice in exchange for QB Drew Bledsoe.
The Patriots acquired the Denver Broncos fourth round pick (117th overall - Rohan Davey) in exchange for their 2002 fourth round (131st overall) and fifth round (144th overall) choices.
The Patriots obtained the Dallas Cowboys seventh round selection (237th overall - Antwoine Womack), along with 2003 fifth round choice, in exchange for the Patriots 2002 fifth round pick (168th overall).

 6/27/02

 The Patriots received an undisclosed future draft choice from St. Louis for LB Kole Ayi.

Date

NOTES

 3/6/03

 The Patriots traded tackle Greg Randall to the Houston Texans in exchange for a fifth round (154th overall) draft choice in the 2003 draft.

 3/6/03

 The Patriots traded a third (81st overall) and fifth round (140th overall) selection in the 2003 draft to the Washington Redskins in exchange for a third round selection (75th overall) in 2003 and a fourth-round selection in 2004.

 4/14/03

 The Patriots traded safety Tebucky Jones to the New Orleans Saints for a third round pick (78th overall) and seventh-round pick (239th overall) in the 2003 draft, as well as a fourth round pick in the 2004 draft (113th overall).

 4/25/03

 The Patriots traded a third round pick in 2003 (78th overall) to the Miami Dolphins for their second round pick in the 2004 draft.

 4/26/03

 The Patriots traded a first round pick in 2003 (14th overall) and a 2003 six round pick (193rd overall) to Chicago for their first round pick (13th overall - DT Ty Warren).

The Patriots traded a first round pick in 2003 (19th overall) to Baltimore for a 2003 second round pick (41st overall) and their 2004 first round pick (21st overall - DT Vince Wilfork).

The Patriots traded a second round pick (41st overall) and a third round pick (75th overall) to the Houston Texans for a second round pick (36th overall - DB Eugene Wilson) and a fourth round pick (117th overall - DL Dan Klecko).

The Patriots traded a second round pick (50th overall) and a fourth round pick (120th overall) to the Carolina Panthers for a second round pick (45th overall - WR Bethel Johnson).

 4/27/03

 The Patriots traded a fourth round pick in 2003 (128th overall) and a fifth round pick in 2003 (157th overall) to the Denver Broncos for a fourth round pick in 2003 (120th overall - CB Asante Samuel).

The Patriots traded a fifth round pick in 2003 (154th overall) and a seventh round pick in 2003 (225th overall) to the Tennessee Titans for a fifth round pick in 2003 (164th overall - C Dan Koppen), a sixth round pick in 2003 (201st overall - QB Kliff Kingsbury) and a seventh round pick in 2003 (243rd overall - NT Ethan Kelley).

 8/19/03

 The Patriots acquired NT Ted Washington from the Chicago Bears in exchange for a 2004 fourth round pick (104th overall - DT Isaac Sopoaga).

 8/26/03

 The Patriots acquired G Jamil Soriano from the Chicago Bears for a conditional draft pick.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Arrowhead Pride's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Arrowhead Pride writers or editors.

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