Predictions from Week Fourteen can be found here. The predicted numbers and the actual numbers for last week can be found at the end of this article.
Its a sad state of affairs when you are looking forward to the Cleveland Browns coming to town, but there it is. This importance of this game for the Chiefs and their fans can't be stressed enough. There is a lot on the line.
This franchise needs to find some pride. Beating the Browns won't restore it. Losing to them will crush what little remains.
In my mind this game is also important for draft position. KC has been hanging out in the top 5 picks for two years now. There are great players there, but they are overpriced and kill you if you miss. Picking in the top five has the added onus of severely curtailing a team's ability to move around in the 1st round. The current draft system rewards teams 6 through 10 and punishes teams 1 through 5. If KC wants to see Pioli wheel and deal like he did in New England, they need to win this game.
The truth is that these two teams could switch uniforms and there's a good chance no one would notice. The defensive stats for the Chiefs and the Browns are almost identical.
There is only 13 total yards allowed separating the 30th ranked Kansas City defense from the 31st ranked Cleveland defense. The numbers across the defensive board are so close as to be sickening. But I'll let you decide:
- Total yards allowed: KC 5008 yds, Cle 5021 yds (KC -13 yards)
- Passing yards allowed: KC 3083 yds, Cle 3094 yds (KC -11 yards)
- Passing yards per game: KC 237.2, Cle 238.0
- Rush yards allowed: KC 1925 yds, Cle 1927 yds (KC -2yards)
- Rush yards per game: KC 148.1, Cle 148.2
The only difference between the Browns and the Chiefs is that KC seems to score more points (KC: 15.8 per game, CLE 12.2 per game) and the Browns sack the QB more often (CLE: 31 sacks, KC 19 sacks)
Yes this weekend is the clash of the titans at Arrowhead. Don't let that throw you off your fantasy game. Bad teams facing each other can make for monster fantasy days.The last time two bottom feeder teams met this season was when Cleveland went to Detroit. There was an offensive explosion from both teams.
Just look at it this way. How many times have you wished that your fantasy Chiefs got to face the Chiefs defense? This week, they do.
Three Chiefs and Sleeper after the break
Thank you Charles. Jamaal has single-handily revived interest in the Chiefs around the world of the NFL with his growing fantasy value. Charles has scored a TD in each of the last five games and tallied over 100 yards combined in three of those contests. Cleveland is allowing 148.2 yards per game. Charles owners should be licking their chops this week. Jamaal is a must start.
Jamaal Charles prediction: 103 yards, 3 receptions, 35 yards, 1 TD
Welcome back Mr. Bowe, how we have missed you. The KC WR corp seemed to be a silver lining this year just four weeks ago. Three losses and 7,000 dropped passes later, it is a source of depression. D-Bowe's return adds a much need big-play dimension to the offense. Dwayne has his own dropped ball problems on routine catches, but he also has a knack for making the big play. And Cleveland's specialty is giving up the big play. Over the last five games they have given up 16 pass plays of 20 yards or longer. Six of these were for over 40 yards. That's a season of big plays for good teams. Look for Bowe to re-establish himself as the KC #1 WR this weekend.
Dwayne Bowe prediction: 7 catches, 94 yards, 1 TD
How fast the worm can turn in the National Football League. A month ago Chiefs fans were hailing Chambers as the free agent coup of the year. Last week his name became a curse that explained all that is wrong with the Chiefs after dropping that 4th quarter pass. It only takes one good week to redeem yourself in the NFL and Chambers will have his opportunity this weekend. Chambers has shown that he can torch sub-par coverage but he struggles when he is the primary receiver. No one on the Chiefs squad will benefit more from Bowe returning to the lineup. The Browns are going to be forced to pay attention to Jamaal and Dwayne. If Cassel can deliver the ball on time (which is a new concern in KC) then Chambers will have the opportunity to scamper back into the fan base's good graces.
Chris Chamber prediction: 5 catches, 65 yards, 1 TD
KC Fantasy Sleeper
Haley's 4th down play calling has been...interesting. I don't know whether to cheer it on or form a mob. I am sure that Ryan Succop's fantasy value has taken a huge hit because of it. To be fair, Haley week in and week out is taking a plastic spork to a machine gun fight. Points have been at a premium all year and field goals were probably not going to be enough in 95% of KC's matchups this year. Cleveland is different. This is the fourth team with comprable talent KC will face this season. Oakland, Buffalo and Washington being the other three. Hopefully Haley was paying attention in those games because it seems pretty simple to me. When Succop connects on two or more field goals the Chiefs win. When Ryan only kicks one FG, KC loses. Let the Ryan Succop for team MVP campaign begin now.
Ryan Succop prediction: 2 FG's, 3 EP's
Mushin's Week 14 Predictions:
Jamaal Charles Prediction: 98 yards, 1 TD, 5 receptions, 45 yards receiving
actual numbers: 143 yards, 1 TD, 7 receptions, 38 yards receiving
Chris Chambers Prediction: 3 receptions, 52 yards
actual numbers: 4 receptions, 50 yards
KC Defense/ST: 3 turnovers
actual numbers: 3 turnovers and a whole lot of garbage
Lance Long Prediction: 4 receptions, 35 yards, 2 rushes, 25 yards, 1 TD
actual numbers: 2 receptions, -6 yards, 1 rush, -3 yards, 0 TD