The Chiefs Start the Second Half of the Season at 0 - 0
I realize that the second half of the Chiefs' season doesn't officially start until next week, but given the bye week, it really feels like the second half of the season started on Monday. Doesn't it?
I know the idea that the Chiefs are now 0-0 starting today is cliché and may seem like a worthless statistic, but it's actually a pretty crucial measure in a rebuild. Before the season started, there were many that said they would be okay with a 4-12 record as long as the team looked like it was improving throughout the year and as long as the bulk of those wins came in the second half of the season. Hopefully that second half momentum would carry through to 2010.
Because to me, the second half of the season in a rebuilding year is a pivot point. The first half of the season revolves around testing and learning. Lather. Rinse. Repeat. You throw a lot of young guys into the fire and some hop out of the fire, while many of them smolder. You give players time to buy into a new offensive and defensive philosophy, to buy into a new coaching staff and a new culture. In the case of the Chiefs, you have to coach players to play in entirely different schemes. Not just the 3-4. It's a completely new blocking scheme. It's a completely new offense.
The second half of the season should represent a point where players either get it or they don't. You can't dangle the same excuse that players are still learning. Todd Haley gets that. He was pretty out of character in his last press conference. I was expecting him to rant and rave about what a lousy performance his team put in against the Chargers. They certainly deserved the criticism. Instead, Haley focused on the positives. Haley was obviously more excited that his players were starting to "get it," even if his team got routed in that effort. As a motivational tool, it gives the players a fresh start. When the playoffs are out of reach, it's very easy to lose motivation, especially when the first half of the season was so frustrating. If the Chiefs play solid football for the rest of the season, they'll celebrate their improvement and that will carry over week after week.
Another reason the Chiefs' second half should technically start this week is that there is also a major pivot in terms of schedule strength. Their remaining schedule is significantly weaker than it was in the first half. They got the entire NFC East out of the way and they've already taken on one of the AFC North's behemoths. In the second half, the Chiefs get Jacksonville, Buffalo, Oakland, and Cleveland. While none of those games are shoo-ins, they are winnable games. Contrast that with the first half of the season, when the Chiefs only really had two (Oakland and Washington).
Don't get your hopes up. If the Chiefs win 4 games or more in the second half of the season, that would be pretty remarkable. Rather than obsess over wins/losses, here are two things you can look out for: 1) are the Chiefs improving as a team? 2) are the Chiefs getting a lot of improvement from their foundational guys or from their stopgaps? Here are some things to watch for in the second half of the season:
- Can they get 3 to 4 wins? If the Chiefs win 3 to 4 more games, that will be a huge accomplishment for a Chiefs' team that is currently on pace to match their pathetic 2-14 record from last season.
- Watch Branden Albert's progress. I haven't given up on Albert. People forget that he's learning to play at a completely different weight in a completely different blocking scheme. I wouldn't pay too much attention to the rest of the line. Remember, we're focusing on improvement that can carry over to next season. I hope that Mike Goff improves his pass protection only because it helps Cassel develop as a pocket quarterback, but who really cares about how that impacts the Chiefs in the long-term? Goff and Niswanger aren't a part of the answer after this season, and I'm not entirely sure if O'Callaghan does either.
- We need to resign ourselves to the fact that Matt Cassel will probably never have great protection this season. It is what it is. You'd still like to see him improve his accuracy on intermediate routes. I personally believe he has improved markedly at getting rid of the ball faster, but he'll need to get better at that too. That means picking up blitzes. All of those things.
- Consistency on the Defensive Line. Forget about tackles and sacks. When you watch Glenn Dorsey and especially Tyson Jackson, hopefully you'll see some fundamental improvements in each of these guys. Jackson, as expected, is horribly inconsistent as a 5-technique Defensive End, but with Vrabel helping Jackson to understand the position, you hope he'll start to get it. Once Jackson and Dorsey both start to consistently get it, you're going to see some major improvements in both the run defense and our pass rush.
- The running game is an interesting situation, because it feels like they might have one piece, but it's unclear whether they have the full puzzle. Jamaal Charles has the upside to be a nice complementary back. And that back is probably not Kolby Smith, nor is it any other back on this roster. Consider the primary back in KC to be a stopgap and pay close attention to Charles. Charles has flashed potential, but he hasn't shown it with any consistency. The Chiefs will hopefully use the rest of the season to see how high that ceiling actually is.
- Unless Dajuan Morgan kicks some serious butt, none of the Chiefs' safeties have played well enough to justify keeping their job in 2010. That includes Page, as sad as that it is to say.
- This might turn a few heads, but I think Dwayne Bowe has a lot to prove over the course of the season if he wants to be this team's go-to receiver threat. With his inconsistency, his knack for dropping key passes on key third downs, and his knack for disappearing in stretches, one has to call into question whether he has any future as the Chiefs' primary target. He would undoubtedly make an outstanding #2 receiver. I can't help but wonder if much of his previous success was due to the presence of Tony Gonzalez. However, no matter which way you slice it, the Chiefs will need wide receiver help at some point. After all, Chris Chambers isn't going to be any kind of a long-term solution.
- Mike Vrabel. Yeah, that sounds weird, because he's clearly not in the Chiefs' long-term plans. But one of the key foundational elements to the Chiefs' defense is the progression of Tyson Jackson. If Jackson does his job, you never notice it, but you might see Vrabel get progressively better as the season goes along. So on the one hand, you can pay attention to Tyson Jackson and see how he progresses; on the other hand, if that's too boring for you, then watch Vrabel instead and see if he's getting absorbed by blockers.
- The offensive line is what it is. I just don't see any long-term options on the line outside of Albert. The starters aren't very good and the backups don't have any real upside. You hope Waters can milk out a few more productive years. You hope Albert continues to improve. The rest of the line, you just hope that they can become as "not horrible" as they can possibly be. That's a sad reality that we have to face.
The Chiefs need to start fresh and forget about how frustrating the first half of 2009 was. You can't walk in to the second half of the season with the expectation that the Chiefs will somehow, magically pull a playoff season out of their back pocket. However, if the Chiefs see some improvement in the above areas and steal a few wins along the way, that's a very good thing for the team.
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Love it!
Rec’d, nice upbeat report.
Not sure that I agree with some of the comments on the OL. I think we have a few project players who will eventually pan out.
- In the short time he’s been here O’Callaghan has done well, I think he’ll continue to get better and better. He could be a starter for years.
- I don’t think we’re done with Barry Richardson. I’m hoping to see him step up and claim a spot on the line. Maybe wishful thinking on my part, but he has a tremendous up-side.
- Colin Brown should also eventually work his way into being a starter. I haven’t forgot about him either.
"Every day is an evaluation and if you’re not out there how can we depend on you? If you’re out there and you don’t know what to do, how can we depend on you?" Accountability -- Haley-style...
by Chief_Elmo on Nov 6, 2009 7:12 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
agreed about the OL..
I think O’Call is the real deal at RT, and Richardson is at least solid depth…
and between Ndukwe, Alleman, Niswanger, Smith, Brown there is at least ONE starting caliber Guard for next season…. if not two.
Center is the real question mark, IMO… and whether or not Waters will be back next season
* "I doubt anyone will miss Connor Barth except UCrawford"
* the LB corps may become the biggest strength of the Chiefs in 2009
* The OL is NOT as bad as you think it is... give it time, and you'll see improvement this season
by stagdsp on Nov 6, 2009 9:32 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Nice Optimism!!
Predictions for 2009:
LJ breaks Chiefs all time rushing record at home
Bowe's numbers regress due to lack of decent QB play.
The D gets better in the second half but still is plagued by big plays
Cassel looks more like the guy Pioli almost cut in the '08 preseason instead of the franchise QB he hoped he would be when he traded him for
Chiefs 6-10
by bonesjackson on Nov 6, 2009 7:23 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Great write up again Jon..
I agree with most everything. The only part I am not sure about is Dorsey and Jackson. I don’t disagree at all, in fact I agree with you there too, what I mean is that it’s so early for them to be judged yet since they have so much still to learn, like you said. Plus I don’t really understand the 3-4 too well so.
However, RB is a MAJOR problem. We absolutely MUST get a high quality RB in here by next season or we can just forfeit the season again. We can’t be one dimensional especially since we’re not very good at the one dimension we play in.
I also don’t think we’ll see anyone but Albert starting next year on the O line. I don’t think Waters will be a chief either. O’ Callaghan may surprise but at this point he is only good by Chiefs O line standards, by NFL standards he is not all that good and certainly not a solution at this point.
I hate to agree about Bowe because he can be our one bright spot when he tries. But he needs to choose an identity and stay with it. Is he a clutch receiver or is he Braylon Edwards? Very inconsistent. Not good. And Chambers?? I agree 100% he is not a solution at all long term and I don’t think even short term he will be honestly.
Our leaders have a lot of work to do right now. A LOT!! Probably more than any other team than the Browns. We are really hurting as a unit right now. It’s bad out there. All we can do is hold our breath and hope Pioli has this all under control and is crouched in the bushes waiting to pounce when the uncapped season starts. GO CHIEFS!!
Thanks Jon..
by krayfish on Nov 6, 2009 7:39 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
I am hoping to see more from O'Callahan
He appears to be the best RT we have had all year. I have seen him blow some assignments but I have also seen him take on two guys coming from different angles to give Cassel enough time to get rid of the ball. I think there is a lot of potential there. Plus he is Irish. =)
Please help send my girlfriend to Broadway! Visit http://magonbroadway.blogspot.com/
by Patrick Allen on Nov 6, 2009 7:49 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Thanks Jon
It’s nice to start the day off by reading something calm, reasonable, and somewhat optimistic. I, like others, am hoping O’Callaghan will work out and free up either a draft pick or FA move for other areas.
Oh and Kray, I agree about the amount of work we still have to do but I think you have to include Tampa Bay in the list of teams with more work to do then us. See what I did there? I just doubled the amount of teams that are in worse shape then us. How’s that for an optimistic start to the day?
It's a good thing Pioli and Haley aren't running AP or a lot of you guys would of been traded or cut for cast offs from the Pats Pulpit.
by KCporkchop on Nov 6, 2009 7:54 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Don't forget
St. Louis & Detroit. I feel as though both of these teams have more (or at least as much) work to do as what we do & I think we’re taking larger steps than either of them currently!
PS. Very nice post Jon & muchly appreciated!
by ttownmikey on Nov 6, 2009 8:18 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Everyone keeps saying this is optomistic, I'd call it realistic
You hit a home run on this one Jon. It’s hard to watch KC lose week in and week out. It’s good to draw back and look at the big picture every now and then. Muchos Gracias senor.
10/19/09: The Chiefs are on their way to an 11-5 season...I think....
10/26/09: Okay, so it'll be 10-6, I can live with that...
by mushin on Nov 6, 2009 8:02 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Nice writeup Jon
What do you think about the prospects of Barry Richardson and/or Collin Brown developing into reliable tackles (or even guards) next season? I’m not expecting it, but sure would be nice if someone in-house is able to step in and justify being drafted. I know Brown went on IR, so next season will probably be another developmental year for him…as for Richardson, who knows. He’s definitely got the size, just not sure if he has the quickness & awareness necessary.
by jmcgoblue on Nov 6, 2009 8:04 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Re: Richardson and Brown
I think you nailed them both down pretty well. I think both have enough concerns that you can’t plan around them. It seems like the coaching staff has Richardson pegged as a left tackle, in which case I wonder if his quickness will always be a bit of a liability. And Colin Brown is just too raw to really know what we have in him. That’s not to say that the Chiefs are in a bad situation for having either of them. I think building quality depth is very underrated. If Richardson’s role is to be a solid but unspectacular left tackle, that’s a great asset for the team. Same with Brown at Right Tackle. And if either of those guys becomes an effective starter, even better!
But the odds are probably stacked against either being great, so you have to build around them if you can.
by Jon Yoon on Nov 6, 2009 3:33 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Chiefs second half of 2009 season .
Geaux Chiefs ! Beat the Jags ! Start a 4 game winning streak ; coming out of a bye week .
by 65tosspowertrap on Nov 6, 2009 8:16 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
That stop LJ petition is past 26000.
by idahochieffan on Nov 6, 2009 8:42 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
wow! it's on front page of yahoo this morning too!
by krayfish on Nov 6, 2009 9:22 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
i love some of the yahoo comments...
from article
I like the Dalai Lama. I don’t like Larry Johnson. I’d rather have Larry Johnson running the football for me.
from comment
The Dalai Lama has the same amount of rushing TD’s as LJ does this year. So i wouldnt be so quick to choose one over the other.
from comment
“It is believed that Johnson attempted to flee from police officers but was tackled after two yards…”
I’ve heard that one before but I still laughed.
by Lucasjr5 on Nov 6, 2009 11:38 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
wow thats an excellent writeup
Wrecked.
by Ren on Nov 6, 2009 9:33 AM CST via mobile reply actions 0 recs
Jon, nice write up.
Well thought out and it is very sound in terms of evaluations, potential, etc. Good stuff.
by G.L. on Nov 6, 2009 9:46 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
This team needs to act like men
Every time i turn around someone is hurt. these guys need to suck it up and play the game. that is what tape is for. the coaches treat them like little kids. tape them up and make them play. look at Steve Deberg he played Q B for us with a pin sticking out of his little finger. he played pretty good like that. so if we want to get better these players have to grow up.
by Charles # 1 chiefs fan on Nov 6, 2009 9:59 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Always loved your stuff on MVN
Thanks Jon. I am of the mind Bowe will surface as our primary target. He’s just to big and talented not to warrant this kind of performance. Chambers will at least be a nice addition for third down. Personal issues or not, he has shown he’s a pretty reliable receiver. I think the drops this year were flukish. At least I hope….
by dkugler838 on Nov 6, 2009 11:45 AM CST reply actions 0 recs

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