Football returns to Arrowhead Stadium this weekend as the Kansas City Chiefs take on the Pittsburgh Steelers.
In case you didn't know, the Steelers are the defending Super Bowl Champions and have a pretty good defense. And a good quarterback.
It's going to be a tough one for the Chiefs this weekend. I've put together three random things I expect to happen this weekend.
Unfortunately, one of those random things is not a Chiefs win. Don't worry - I'm still going to pick the Chiefs to win in my game day prediction. But it's Friday and objectivity rules today. This Steelers team is a huge challenge for the Chiefs
Talking expectations, after the jump.
Increased load for RB Kolby Smith
I know people are saying Jamaal Charles should be getting the majority of the carries for the Chiefs but I don't see that happening. I think Charles' increased load last weekend was a placeholder tactic until Kolby Smith is up to speed.
RB Jamaal Charles had 18 carries last weekend - tied for his career high in rushing attempts. Charles had 18 carries against Tampa Bay last season but no more than 7 carries in any other game.
My point? Jamaal Charles is not ready to be an every down back and probably never will be. Fumbles anyone?
That's why I think we'll see RB Kolby Smith carry the ball more than the 9 times he did last week.
The Pittsburgh offense won't be scary (but they'll be pretty good)
The Steelers' offense is pretty middle of the road - 15th in points; 9th in yards; 8th in passing yards; 17th in rushing yards.
They're bolstered by a top notch defense that ranks second in the NFL in yards allowed per game and first against the run. This strong running defense is also a reason I think we'll see Kolby Smith more.
We're all pretty familiar with the Steelers style of play - less than flashy offense; grinding defense. And I think that's the exact combination we'll see this weekend.
QB Ben Roethlisberger won't screw up this week
"You know what? I had a bad day," Roethlisberger said Thursday, the first time he has talked to reporters since the game. "Everyone in here's had a bad day. ... I flat out had a bad day, and it's going to happen sometimes. It's just unfortunate that when the quarterback has a bad game, it affects the whole offense. That's why you can't afford to have too many bad games."
I'm secretly a huge Big Ben fan because I think he's arguably the first quarterback I'd pick up if I was building a team. It's not in his nature to have two bad games in a row, especially against an inferior team like the Chiefs.
Defensive match ups and all other analysis aside, I have a gut feeling that Roethlisberger will have a big day against the Chiefs. Like I said above, I don't think the Steeler offense is going to put up 40 points. But I do think we'll see a solid quarterbacking day from the Steelers' QB - perhaps a 65+ completion percentage, 250+ yards and a passing TD.
Those are three of my expectations for this weekend. What are some of yours?