One Mock Draft Thread to Rule Them All

I remember reading over the comments in a recent mock draft fanpost not too long ago where someone suggested something about looking through all the mock drafts posted here on AP and compiling some sort of stat line for it. Well…I did :)

After scanning the fanpost archives of the last 3 months (roughly ~1100 fanposts scanned dating back to the beginning of this year’s season) I found that there weren't as many mock drafts as I thought there'd be. In total there was only 12 complete mock drafts  (4 of them done by the same person), 2 mock draft poll threads (for 1st and 2nd round choices), and 5 ‘(insert player name) needs to be the 1st rd. choice posts altogether in roughly the amount of time from the beginning of the season to thus far. With that being said what I looked at all the draft choices presented and complied them into one post to centralize the draft discussion and look and see what the general AP consensus is when it comes to the draft.

Do note that I only did the first 4 rounds of the draft. Rounds 5 and down are what I like to call ‘unknowns’ simply because:

A)    We have no idea what we have left below the mid round picks due to trades this off-season and

B)     For the most part rounds 5-7 are considered a crap shoot.

C)    Everything is a guess in a mock draft but rounds 5-7 that becomes especially so

The AP Draft Mindset:

(updated November 29, 2009)

1st round:

• Eric Berry – S – Tennessee – 8 mock 1s (51 poll votes)
• Russell Okung – OT – Oklahoma State - 3 mock 1s (45 poll votes)
• Ndamukong Suh – DT – Nebraska – 3 mock 1s (11 poll votes)
• Terrence Cody – NT– Alabama – 2 mock 1s
• Rolando McClain - ILB - Alabama - 2 mock 1s
• Dez Bryant – WR – Oklahoma State – 1 mock

(1st) 2nd round:

• Ciron Black – OT – Louisiana State University – 2 mock 2s
• Mike Johnson – OG – Alabama – 1 mock 2 (15 poll votes)
• Jerry Hughes – OLB – Texas Christian University – 1 mock
• Sergio Kindle – DE/OLB – Texas – 1 mock
• Golden Tate - WR/PR - Notre Dame - 1 mock
• Von Miller – OLB – Texas A&M – 1 mock
• Kris O’Dowd – C – University of Southern California – 1 mock
• Brandon Spikes – ILB – Florida – 1 mock
• Arrelious Benn – WR – Illinois – 1 mock
• Ed Dickson – TE – Oregon – 1 mock
• Patrick Robinson - CB - Florida State - 1 mock
• Jonathan Dwyer - RB - Georgia Tech - 1 mock
• Anthony McCoy - TE - USC - 1 mock
• Sam Young – OT – Notre Dame – 0 mock (10 poll votes)
• Josh McNeil – C – Tennessee – 0 mock (10 poll votes)
• Marshwan Gilyard – WR – Cincinnati – 0 mock (5 poll votes)

(2nd) 2nd round:

• Mike Iupati – OG – Idaho – 1 mock
• Darrell Stuckey – S – Kansas – 1 mock
• Eric Olsen – C – Notre Dame – 1 mock
• Kris O’Dowd – C – USC – 1 mock
• Matt Tenant – C – Boston College – 1 mock
• Boo Robinson – DT – Wake Forest – 1 mock
• Tony Washington – OT – Abilene Christian – 1 mock
• Vince Oghnobaase – DT – Duke – 1 mock
• Nate Allen – S – USF – 1 mock
• Kyle McCarthy – S – Notre Dame – 1 mock
• Ciron Black - OT - LSU - 1 mock
• Jason Fox - OT - Miami - 1 mock
• Jerry Hughes - OLB - Texas Christian University - 1 mock

3rd Round:

• Jordan Shipley – WR – Texas – 3 mock
• Jerome Murphy – CB – University of Southern Florida – 2 mock
• Bruce Campbell – OT – Maryland – 1 mock
• Sean Lee – ILB – Penn State – 1 mock
• Marshwan Gilyard – WR – Cincinnati – 1 mock
• Eric Decker – WR – Minnesota – 1 mock
• Gabe Carimi – OT – Wisconsin – 1 mock
• John Estes – C – Hawaii – 1 mock
• Jason Fox - OT - University of Miami (FL) - 1 mock
• Mike Johnson - OG - Alabama - 1 mock

4th round:

• Darrell Stuckey – S – Kansas – 2 mock  
• Dexter Davis – OLB – Arizona State University – 2 mock
• Vladamir Ducasse - OG - University of Massachusetts - 2 mock
• Sam Young - OL - Notre Dame - 1 mock
• Jacoby ford – WR – Clemson – 1 mock
• Dezmon Briscoe – WR – Kansas – 1 mock
• Jean-Pierre Paul – DE/OLB – USF – 1 mock
• Mike Johnson – OG – Alabama – 1 mock
• Micah Johnson – ILB – Kentucky – 1 mock
• Matt Tenant – C – Boston College – 1 mock
  
• Toby Gerhart - RB - Stanford - 1 mock
• Eric Olsen - OG - Notre Dame - 1 mock

AP Draft Consensus by Position:

1st Round - Safety

(1st) 2nd Round - Offensive Line

(2nd) 2nd Round - Offensive Line

3rd Round - WR

4th Round - OLB

So as you can see the general agreement amongst the AP mock drafters (draftees?) is…well pretty standard concerning 1st round draft choices. Its rounds 2-4 where the true disparity arises and we can see personal tastes, loyalties, flavor of the month, BPA guesses etc… start to arise. But there are a few notable names and players that appeared in more then one mock draft and they are as such:

AP’s Top 5 Most Popular Mock draft Players (by appearance)

1. Eric Berry (7 mock draft 1st round choice picks/ 51 poll votes)
2. Russell Okung (3 Mock draft 1st round choice picks/ 45 poll votes)
3. Darrell Stuckey (1 Mock draft 2nd round choice pick and 2 Mock draft 4th round)
4. Jordan Shipley (3 Mock draft 3rd round choices picks)
5. Cirion Black (2 mock draft 2nd choice) and Dexter Davis (2 mock draft 4th round)

Without further ado I consolidated the list into one single AP community mock draft selection based solely on the popularity of a player in a given round determined by either of the following or a combination of both:

1)      Poll Votes in a mock draft thread by Nick Taylor

2)      The number of appearances in different mock draft threads at the same draft position.

The AP Mock Draft Consensus By Player:

1st Round  - Eric Berry – S – Tennessee

2nd Round (1) – Mike Johnson – OG – Alabama (based on poll vote numbers)

2nd Round (2) – Undecided Offensive Lineman candidate

3rd Round – Jordan Shipley – WR – Texas

4th Round – Darrel Stuckey – S – Kansas or Dexter Davis – OLB – ASU

The 2nd 2nd round choice is left as undecided. Why? Simply because there was no general agreement between any two mock draft threads or a popular vote to decide one. So as for now it will remain blank

 But before I end this post let me just add this little nugget of hope for you all: my own personal mock draft to top the whole thing off :D

-butchcassidy’s Mock Draft for Winners-

(updated: November 26th with the Chiefs currently selecting at #9) 

1st Round - Rolando McClain – ILB – Alabama

Why?:  Rolando McClain is the force that is the force behind the Crimson Tide defense. While Terrence Cody is the anchor of the line McClain is the hammer of the 2nd level. A bona fide true ILB prospect for the ages with talent equal too (or dare I say surpassing that of) former 1st round draft choice Patrick Willis. Like Willis McClain is a nasty, nasty footballer; a hard nosed grinder able to cover side line to sideline as well as be the presence in the middle to deny the run game up the gut. A technically sound LB in coverage Rolando is the complete package, delivering in spades on all fronts. A 3 down, full motor LB that KC is sorely lacking...

2nd Round – Anthony McCoy – TE – USC

Why?: Sean Ryan, Brad Cottam, Leonard Pope need I say more? After the departure of the Chiefs all world TE Tony Gonzalez the TE position is absolutely devoid of decent talent. Each one of their TEs is absolutely horrid in the blocking in both pass and run support. They can't do anything. In comes Anthony McCoy. McCoy is the 2nd best TE prospect in this draft (behind OU's Jermain Gresham); an excellent blocker McCoy has the blocking ability of a seasoned offensive tackle behind the athletic body of a dynamic reviving threat in the pass game. While not exactly a burner McCoy does have adequate speed to get down field quick enough while possessing the athletic ability to make the catches that matter. He's a big target and would be an absolute beast in the intermediate pass game.

 2nd Round (2) – Matt Tennant – C – Boston College

Why?: Ever since  Casey Wiegmann left the void at the center position for the Chiefs has been...well not filled! Rudy Niswanger is a nice guy, a real smart ball player but plays to high, too slow, and just plain unsuited to play center, or at least start at center for any length of time, for any team. Rudy is what you call...quality depth; yea he's a good stop gap but he just isn't that vital cog and isn't a piece you build your O-Line out and around of. In steps Matt Tennant . If the QB is the captain of the offense then the Center is the Lieutenant of the line. An intelligent beast, Tennant is an absolute hog in the middle. An unstoppable force in the run game and an immovable object in the pass game, Tennant is fluid on his feet and vicious with his hand.

3rd Round –  Jerome Murphy – CB/S – University of Southern Florida

Why?: Read on some of the other mocks that he's a more developed shut down corner type in the mold of an Al Harris of Green Bay type that knows how to play the field too his advantage, taking advantage of QB miscues with authority.

4th Round – Vladamir Duccasse – OG - UMass

Why?: Once upon a time the Chiefs possessed an O-line of legends. With Willie Roaf and Brian Waters manning the blind side, Casey Weigmann controlling the line calls, and the guard of guards Will Shields effectively sealing off the right side of the line with a man known as Jon Tait at right tackle. Ahh the good Ole days. But now the Chiefs have a sieve of a line that is patch worked and re-tooled with names such as Wade Smith, Barry Richardson, Mike Goff and Rudy Niswanger seeing time and contributing to the futility of a team looking to breathe.  With a weakness at both RG and LG the solution becomes simple when the Chiefs draft the big man known as Vladamir Duccasse. Vlad is an agile big man but is just down right nasty and knows how and when to anchor,.