Chiefs Season Community Projections
by Chris Thorman on Aug 27, 2008 1:28 PM CDT
in 2008 Preseason
4 comments
As the final preseason game nears and the New England Patriots loom on the horizon, I figured now is as good of a time as any to go over some odds for the Kansas City Chiefs 2008 season, courtesy of Bodog Life. I'm not a gambler but these odds are great for community projections as well.
An explanation of some of the numbers used would help too.
Team Odds
Odds to win the 2009 Super Bowl XLIII: 125/1
Odds to win the 2008 AFC Championship: 55/1
Odds to win the AFC West Division: 12/1
Win Totals
Regular Season Wins
Over 6: 110
Under 6: -120
Regular Season Home Wins
Over 3: -140
Under 3: +110
Regular Season Road Wins
Over 3: +110
Under 3: -140
Player Performance Odds
Brodie Croyle Passing Yards
Over/Under: 2500
Brodie Croyle Passing Touchdowns
Over/Under: 15.5
Brodie Croyle Interceptions
Over/Under: 15.5
Brodie Croyle Completion percentage
Over/Under: 59Larry Johnson Rushing Yards
Over/Under: 1275
Larry Johnson Total Touchdowns
Over/Under: 9.5
Larry Johnson carries
Over/Under: 295
Tony Gonzalez Receiving Yards
Over/Under: 900
Tony Gonzalez Touchdowns
Over/Under: 5
Tony Gonzalez Receptions
Over/Under: 83Dwayne Bowe Receiving Yards
Over/Under: 1025
Dwayne Bowe Touchdowns
Over/Under: 6Will a wide receiver other than Dwayne Bowe have more than 450 Yards receiving?
Yes/No: -115
Which second year wide receiver will have more receiving yards?
Dwayne Bowe (KC): +105
Calvin Johnson (DET): -135
Glenn Dorsey sacks
Over/Under: 4.5
Tamba Hali sacks
Over/Under: 8
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I guess I wasnt good in math
But if there are only four teams in the AFC West, how could it be 12 to 1? Even if they went by head to head games its 8 to 1, I think.
by Lanier63 on Aug 27, 2008 4:42 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
no
I think the total odds have to add up to 1, so it means the odds of one of the three other teams add up to 11/12.
Blame my wife!
by sir eccles on Aug 27, 2008 5:42 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
or more clearly
There is a 1 in 12 chance the Chiefs will win the division (HA!)
There is an 11 in 12 chance one of either the Broncos, Chargers or Raiders will win the division.
Blame my wife!
by sir eccles on Aug 27, 2008 5:45 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
maybe another way to look at it is
If you simulated the season twelve times on Madden’08 with the same teams each time, then the Chiefs would win the division once while the other eleven seasons would be shared between the Broncos, Chargers and Raiders.
I should shut up now before I make a fool of myself (again).
Blame my wife!
by sir eccles on Aug 27, 2008 5:48 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
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