Chiefs Season Community Projections

by Chris Thorman on Aug 27, 2008 1:28 PM CDT in 2008 Kansas City Chiefs Preseason

As the final preseason game nears and the New England Patriots loom on the horizon, I figured now is as good of a time as any to go over some odds for the Kansas City Chiefs 2008 season, courtesy of Bodog Life. I'm not a gambler but these odds are great for community projections as well.

An explanation of some of the numbers used would help too.

Team Odds

Odds to win the 2009 Super Bowl XLIII: 125/1

Odds to win the 2008 AFC Championship: 55/1

Odds to win the AFC West Division: 12/1

Win Totals

Regular Season Wins

Over 6: 110

Under 6: -120

Regular Season Home Wins

Over 3: -140

Under 3: +110

Regular Season Road Wins

Over 3: +110

Under 3: -140

Player Performance Odds

Brodie Croyle Passing Yards

Over/Under: 2500

Brodie Croyle Passing Touchdowns

Over/Under: 15.5

Brodie Croyle Interceptions

Over/Under: 15.5

Brodie Croyle Completion percentage

Over/Under: 59

Larry Johnson Rushing Yards

Over/Under: 1275

Larry Johnson Total Touchdowns

Over/Under: 9.5

Larry Johnson carries

Over/Under: 295

Tony Gonzalez Receiving Yards

Over/Under: 900

Tony Gonzalez Touchdowns

Over/Under: 5

Tony Gonzalez Receptions

Over/Under: 83

Dwayne Bowe Receiving Yards

Over/Under: 1025

Dwayne Bowe Touchdowns

Over/Under: 6

Will a wide receiver other than Dwayne Bowe have more than 450 Yards receiving?

Yes/No: -115

Which second year wide receiver will have more receiving yards?

Dwayne Bowe (KC): +105

Calvin Johnson (DET): -135

Glenn Dorsey sacks

Over/Under: 4.5

Tamba Hali sacks

Over/Under: 8

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Comments

I guess I wasnt good in math

But if there are only four teams in the AFC West, how could it be 12 to 1? Even if they went by head to head games its 8 to 1, I think.

by Lanier63 on Aug 27, 2008 4:42 PM CDT reply actions

no

I think the total odds have to add up to 1, so it means the odds of one of the three other teams add up to 11/12.

Blame my wife!

by sir eccles on Aug 27, 2008 5:42 PM CDT up reply actions

or more clearly

There is a 1 in 12 chance the Chiefs will win the division (HA!)
There is an 11 in 12 chance one of either the Broncos, Chargers or Raiders will win the division.

Blame my wife!

by sir eccles on Aug 27, 2008 5:45 PM CDT up reply actions

maybe another way to look at it is

If you simulated the season twelve times on Madden’08 with the same teams each time, then the Chiefs would win the division once while the other eleven seasons would be shared between the Broncos, Chargers and Raiders.

I should shut up now before I make a fool of myself (again).

Blame my wife!

by sir eccles on Aug 27, 2008 5:48 PM CDT reply actions