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DJ's "Development"

Kcchiefs.com posted a fairly underwhelming interview with Derrick Johnson yesterday. I don't claim to be an expert in how to extract information from professional athletes, but as we saw on Hard Knocks last year, athletes are coached to be cordial and avoidant. So I would do everything I can to knock them off their guard, to get them to reveal actual nuggets of information rather than that candy-coated crap they're always feeding us.

It's an unofficial job of mine to read this crap, and it doesn't get any easier when the questions line up like this:

Q: How’s it going for you now that your in your third week of OTAs and you start mini- camp on Friday?

Q. What is like to not only have Gunther as your defensive coordinator, but also your linebackers coach?

Q: Sometimes you start out real strong then things trail off. Is this the year for you?

Q: That word consistency seems to be that word because Brodie (Croyle) used it as well about his play and that everybody has to consistent?

THAT LAST ITEM ISN'T EVEN A QUESTION. But it's got a question mark nonetheless.

It's been several years now since we've drafted Derrick Johnson, and there's not a lot I can tell you about his tenure that you don't already know. His play has alternated between brilliant and ordinary. The sky is blue.

But the continual talk about Derrick Johnson during his time as a Chief has been that he's "developing." This was an adjective I'd hoped we'd stop using after his second year, but coming into his fourth year, we're still hearing it. And oddly enough, it's appropriate. The guy is still developing, because even after 2007, easily his best to date, there is still a lot of things this guy can do.

Ever since his rookie year ended, I've been the guy saying "DJ's going to explode!!!1 this year" every single offseason, only to be proven wrong.

Well this year, he truly is going to explode. And I'm not just saying that to say it. I'm saying it because I truly believe, and will argue thusly, that Derrick Johnson will be a Pro Bowl linebacker in 2008. Quote it, buy it, print it. I'll offer three gigantic reasons why.

The first reason is that there is a lot of buzz out right now that DJ is finally making the move from strongside to weakside linebacker. This a move that is significant not only in the statistics he's going to accumulate, but in his ability to impact games. The strongside linebacker is typically responsible for more pass coverage and less freedom to roam than the weakside is -- largely to account for the tight end. The strongside linebacker typically rushes the backfield where the most blockers are, and has to attack the QB in his line of vision.

DJ has been nearly elite in pass coverage, and locked down on tight ends all year -- few tight ends had big games on the Chiefs. But DJ's specialty is getting behind the line of scrimmage and getting to the QB. The weakside allows DJ to do it without entering the QB's line of vision, and it doesn't weigh him down with coverage assignments nearly as much as the strongside would. This allows DJ to create more havoc.

The second reason DJ will make the Pro Bowl is more negative for the Chiefs as a team: he is surrounded with the weakest linebacker talent that he's seen in his years as a Chief (as hard as we strive on AP for continuity, this is a point where Chris and I disagree). Donnie Edwards is another year older at a position that doesn't age particularly well, and Donnie may be playing at middle linebacker anyway to cover for Napoleon Harris, who's performance has been so underwhelming, offenses are apparently gameplanning to attack him. DeMorrio Williams is a question mark more than anything, and from there it's a cluster of UDFAs and castoffs, all of them promising but none of them proven.

It's an adage that's seen across all levels of football: surround a linebacker with better and better players, and his numbers and the sheer amount of plays he can make will decrease. If you surround a linebacker with elite talent, there's less Superman plays he has to make to keep his team competitive. What you're seeing in 2008 is a weak lineup that backs up a defensive line that's riddled with questions itself, and DJ will be provided every opportunity to statistically erupt.

The third and last reason that DJ will be a Pro Bowler in 2008 is that he's already played like one last year. I believe that DJ was a Top 5 strongside linebacker last year. But every OLB that made the AFC Pro Bowl squad came from a 3-4 defense, which provides their OLBs to rush the QB with abandon and put up huge numbers.

So with all of the above reasons, a little friendly exposure from the media, and some luck, I fearlessly predict that DJ will become the first Chiefs linebacker to make the Pro Bowl since our own patron saint, Derrick Thomas.

Who's with me?

Poll
Derrick Johnson. Discuss.
  • You're right! This is the year! Honolulu or bust!
  • I don't think he'll make the Pro Bowl, but he'll play fantastic and help this team win.
  • Same ol' same ol'. He'll play great some plays and disappear others.
  • DJ will start to decline. All hail DeMorrio Williams.
  • The Chiefs will trade DJ for three high draft picks next offseason.

  176 votes | Results

0 recs | Comment 9 comments

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Regarding the last "question"

All you have to do as you read it is to raise the tone of your voice as you get to the end?

Blame my wife!

by sir eccles on Jun 5, 2008 8:30 AM CDT   0 recs

DJ Will Probably Be Fine

It’s a bit of a crapshoot to project how well, but I agree he’ll probably improve a lot and will be the best linebacker on the team. I don’t know that it’s a talentless group of linebackers either…there are definitely question marks, though. If Steve Octavien ends up nailing down a spot as middle linebacker, however, linebacker will be a strength for us, I think.

Supporting the lesser of two evils is still supporting something evil.

by UCrawford on Jun 5, 2008 8:31 AM CDT   0 recs

There is more to the story

I agree with all the reasons you’ve identified indicating that DJ will have a PB year. I disagree with the general assessment of the Linebacker unit. I’ve said it before, last year was a year of multiple breakdowns. It seemed like every position and player was playing by themselves to just survive. They didn’t play as a unit, but a group of good players playing alone with flashes of brilliance (Allen). The weaknesses we did have on the D and O lines and corners was too much to overcome for everyone.

I am excited that Herm, Gun, and Gailey are not just filling holes with good players, but giving each player the opportunity to fit into their position within the team where he can use his strengths to support the O or D unit. Vetran or Rookie, the best player at a specific position will strengthen the team more than using a great player out of position to fill a gap.

Donnie Edwards is a great, intelligent player. Used correctly, he will continue to dominate and teach the young players. DJ, Tank, Tamba, Dorsey…..with a strong supporting unit and a balance of youth and experience in each area of the field, we won’t be targeted over and over in one spot and the workload will be shared. This will in turn allow the team to be fresher into the 4th quarter. Teamwork is the key. Trust, confidence, respect for each other, and the strength of the whole, is more powerful than individual skill by itself.

A Pro Bowler on the D this year? No. Pro Bowlers on the D this year? Yes! I will lay down the bet …. two minimum.

by TXChiefan on Jun 5, 2008 3:39 PM CDT   0 recs

What?

Where did you get the information that DJ is moving to the weakside?

That hasn’t been reported by anyone this offseason.

by bfett81 on Jun 5, 2008 9:43 PM CDT   0 recs

One thing you left out that people should know….DJ led the league in tackles for loss last year, at least according to stats.com, which is fairly reliable.

His problem is consistency, however. I wouldn’t really call getting to the quarterback his “speciality,” either. He’s not Merriman.

by bfett81 on Jun 5, 2008 9:45 PM CDT   0 recs

You're right

He’s not Merriman, thank God. That steroid freak, while a great linebacker (with illegal help) is an all-around jackass.

What’s up bfett? I’m a huge fan of the videos. Please keep them coming this year…I BEG OF YOU! No, seriously, though – outstanding job. My favorite by far is the one from 6/25/07. Classic.

TOUCHDOWN! KAN-SAH-CITY!!!

by TheScootness on Jun 5, 2008 11:56 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

As far as DJ

Look at the positive side here: every year he’s “developing”. He’s still an ascending player every year. What more could you ask for? There are so many players in the league that come in and quickly hit the plateau of their talent, tread water for a little while, and start to decline. If he could continue to develop every year for the next 3-5 years I would count the team incredibly lucky to have him.

I could really care less if he makes the Pro Bowl, beyond the recognition for him personally and the Chiefs defense as a whole. I want him to have Pro Bowl-worthy stats, but it’s really just a popularity contest. I would hope more that his performance is a boost for the rest of the defense and the linebacker corps in particular.

Great insight on the weakside position, but again, where is your source? (Please don’t say the Star or your credibility will be shot all to hell :)

TOUCHDOWN! KAN-SAH-CITY!!!

by TheScootness on Jun 6, 2008 12:05 AM CDT   0 recs

left outside linebacker is the position DJ has played since he was drafted

by bfett81 on Jun 6, 2008 1:40 PM CDT   0 recs

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