Morning Update (Inevitability Edition)

by Chris Thorman on Apr 24, 2008 7:33 AM CDT Comment 7 comments

I apologize for the downtime yesterday evening and night. Thank you for your patience.

Wow. The Vikings owner had to borrow money for Jared Allen's signing bonus. (H/T The Football Wire)

Pacman Jones has been traded to Dallas. Blogging the Boys has all the details.

Crane at Arrowhead Addict -- 10 Reasons NOT to Draft Matt Ryan.

The KCChiefs.com columnists weight in on the Allen trade.

Jared Allen's agent -- "We were the ones chasing. We were the only ones to make a formal proposal. Last year, Jared had me running around the country, to the Super Bowl and the Senior Bowl and the combine and those sorts of things, making proposals to the Chiefs. We didn’t ever really feel like it was going to end up with a contract agreement."

John Clayton -- "Expect the Chiefs to actively shop for a trade that could put them into the top 12 of the draft in order to get one of the top offensive linemen. One possible trade partner could be the Buffalo Bills. With the 11th pick, the Bills are looking at wide receiver Devin Thomas and one of the three top small-college cornerbacks. By moving back, the Bills could maybe pick up a third-round pick and still have a choice of one cornerback and possibly Thomas."

I'll be posting these until draft day -- WPI's Sedrick Ellis profile.

There's a short morning update for you this morning while I prepare to travel today. Primetime will be along in a bit to take over posting duties. I'll be around but not as much as usual. Like I said in the Housekeeping FanPost, we will be live blogging the draft so make sure you come by on Saturday.

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Top Ten On Matt Ryan

2 on AA’s list said it all…he’s a QB who played in a weak conference and put up a mediocre completion percentage. Guys who have trouble putting up good completion percentages in college rarely do it in the pros…the only exception I’ve seen to that has been Brett Favre (who posted roughly a 53% completion percentage at Southern Miss). And for every Brett Favre, there are a dozen guys who aren’t able to compensate.

Supporting the lesser of two evils is still supporting something evil.

by UCrawford on Apr 24, 2008 8:35 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs

Completion percentage and # of starts

I’ve heard (can’t find a link to cite my source) that these are the only two stats that translate well to the NFL. This is a big reason why Chad Henne is becoming so popular. 4-year Michigan starter who could walk right into a team (like Baltimore) and start. Like he did at Michigan.

by Joel Thorman on Apr 24, 2008 8:39 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

QB Completion Percentage

I saw a piece a week or two ago (think it was on ESPN, but not sure) where they discussed QBs who struggled with completing passes and how well those QBs did in the NFL. Basically, if you’ve got a guy who completes passes in the mid-50 percent range, he’s going to do it for a lower percentage in the NFL. If you’ve got one who completes in the high-50s or in the 60s, then he’ll probably do pretty well in the NFL (of course, the numbers should probably be adjusted a bit for era). That’s why I like Brian Brohm better than Ryan…you’re talking about a guy who’s been consistently accurate through his college career (lowest completion percentage 63.4%). It’s also why I’d find Colt Brennan an intriguing pick with a really late pick…the last two years he’s posted 70% completion percentages (although he does bring a lot of baggage to the table). By way of comparison:

http://collegefootball.rivals.com/cviewplayer.asp?Player=36481

http://nfldraft.rivals.com/cviewplayer.asp?Player=8551

Some people will scream “system quarterback” of course, but if you look at two big system QBs who couldn’t make it in the pros (David Klingler and Timmy Chang), Klingler posted a 57% career completion percentage as did Timmy Chang (Brennan’s predecessor at Hawaii, playing in the same offensive system). Systems may help you put up yardage, but completion percentage is more about the QB.

Supporting the lesser of two evils is still supporting something evil.

by UCrawford on Apr 24, 2008 8:52 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

Reason No. 11

No matter who you have as QB, he’ll end up on his back with concussion quicker than you can say “Trent Green retirement plan” if you have no offensive line.

Blame my wife!

by sir eccles on Apr 24, 2008 8:41 AM CDT reply actions 1 recs

Until someone convinces me different

There is no legitimate reasonable explanation why we should not use our #5 pick in the first round. I saw last night, the last time the Chiefs had two picks in the first round of the draft, we got Bill Maas and John Alt.

I also liked what one analyst said about Jared Allen. We had him last year and he led the league in sacks, and we only had 4 wins. He also said Jared had no 4th quarter sacks, and we had some close games. I just think with our situation that we did the right thing with the trade. We have to use the 5th pick for a player.

by Lanier63 on Apr 24, 2008 10:58 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs

Posnanski Shot That One Full of Holes

We were behind in the 4th quarter of a lot of games, so a lot of time other teams were just running out the clock with run plays (thus no sack opportunities). I’d call it misusing small sample size, like how some pundits will try to claim a particular baseball player because of a 60 AB sample that’s completely out of whack with his normal performance (usually what they deem as “clutch”). That a Chiefs employee said it before the trade went through makes it seem to me as if they were covering their ass.

Aside from the Green Bay game, where Favre killed us at the end, I don’t know what more Allen really could have done. We weren’t a good team last year and our offense stank. Truth be told, we probably should have been worse than 4-12 (and it wouldn’t have bothered me if we were because we’d have a higher draft pick). Very little of the blame for that should fall on Jared Allen…one player out of 45 can only do so much.

Supporting the lesser of two evils is still supporting something evil.

by UCrawford on Apr 25, 2008 12:02 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

Meant to say...

“like how some pundits will try to claim a particular baseball player chokes because of a 60 AB sample that’s completely out of whack with his normal performance (usually what they deem as "clutch").”

Cold streaks occasionally happen.

Supporting the lesser of two evils is still supporting something evil.

by UCrawford on Apr 25, 2008 12:04 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs