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Community Projections: Larry Johnson

G GS Att Yds Avg Lng TD Rec Yds Avg Long TD FUM Los
2006 16 16 416 1789 4.3 47 17 41 410 10 78 2 2 2
2005 16 9 336 1750 5.2 49T 20 33 343 10.4 36 1 5 4
2004 10 3 120 581 4.8 46T 9 22 278 12.6 40 2 -- --
2003 6 0 20 85 4.3 15 1 1 2 2 2 0 -- --
TOTAL 892 4205 4.7 49 47 97 1033 10.6 78 5 7 6

Welcome to a new feature called Community Projections here at AP. Basically, over the course of the rest of the preseason, we'll predict stats for the significant players on the Kansas City Chiefs roster. After the season is over, and sometimes during, we'll revisit these threads to see where we are in our predictions. Above are Larry Johnson's all-time stats, with the rushing stats beginning on the left and the receiving stats on the right.

Let me start this off:

  • RUSHING YARDS: 1550
  • RUSHING TDS: 17
  • RECEIVING YARDS: 450
  • RECEPTIONS: 50
  • RECEIVING TDS: 2
  • RUSHING ATTEMPTS: 375
If last year's playoff loss to the Colts taught us anything, its that the Chiefs offense was too predictable. Thats one reason I can see for a slight upswing in Larry's receiving yards and receptions. Offensive coordinator Mike Solari knows that teams will stack the box against LJ and he'll adjust by mixing up the playcalling. I can't see him mixing it up a whole lot but after last year, a little more play action and a few more screen passes should be in the mix. I don't think LJ will approach 1700 yards again because with our QB situation, you can bet that teams will make Brodie Croyle beat them before they let LJ beat them. Larry Johnson will still be dominant rushing the ball but there may be a few games early on in the season where the Chiefs opponents will flat out make LJ and LJ only beat them, resulting in a few games with fewer yards and touches.

Get your predictions on the record now or forever hold your peace.

Note: If you've been reading and not commenting, now is a good time to jump in. Create a free account (only requires an e-mail address) and let us know how LJ is going to do this season.

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Predictions
RUSHING YARDS: 1500
RUSHING TDS: 20
RECEIVING YARDS: 500
RECEPTIONS: 50
RECEIVING TDS: 2
RUSHING ATTEMPTS: 400

by Just Rope Ball on Aug 22, 2007 9:15 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Wishful thinking
RUSHING YARDS: 1669
RUSHING TDS: 21                           RECEIVING YARDS: 580
RECEPTIONS: 61
RECEIVING TDS: 5
RUSHING ATTEMPTS: 365

by stevedebergHOF on Aug 22, 2007 9:41 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Predictions:
Rushing Yards: 1580
Rushing TDS: 17
Receiving Yards: 520
Receptions: 47
Receiving TDS: 4
Rushing Attempts: 380

by Chiefs n Chopper on Aug 22, 2007 10:13 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Brookside Pongers Predictions
Yards - 1150
Reushing TD's - 15 (everytime inside the 10, run, run run FG)
Receiving yards - 480
Receptions - 64
Receiving TD's - 6
Rushing attempts - 345

He may be a stud but its not going to be pretty behind this line.

by Bill Grigsbys Cirrhosis on Aug 22, 2007 10:19 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

The line wasn't pretty last year
But he still pulled off over 1700 yards. I took the weakened offensive line into account too. I don't think his production is dropping off by 600 yards though.

BTW, who are the Brookside Pongers? I grew up in Brookside.

by Chris Thorman on Aug 22, 2007 10:25 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Predictions
Last years line with Will Shields > this eyars line minus Will Shields

What aren't the Brookside Pongers?

by Bill Grigsbys Cirrhosis on Aug 23, 2007 3:24 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Brookside
No ping pong pong.  Once a week outdoor league in Brookside.  You have my email, let me know if you want more info, its a good time with plenty of Camerohead regulars.

by Bill Grigsbys Cirrhosis on Aug 24, 2007 2:57 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Too many rushing attempts
I don't think he'll have more than 350--that's been an emphasis this year.  Also, will LJ buck the trend of the 400 carry curse?

by Joel Thorman on Aug 22, 2007 10:36 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

my predictions...
RUSHING YARDS: 1328
RUSHING TDS: 15
RECEIVING YARDS: 400
RECEPTIONS: 45
RECEIVING TDS: 4
RUSHING ATTEMPTS: 330

he will have a good year, but we face a lot of tough defenses and they will be stacked in the box. plus, michael bennett will see the field quite a bit, herm wants to reduce carries.

by rockchalk on Aug 22, 2007 12:53 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Hey
If you guys are interested, I just did an interview for MVN about Larry Johnson and the Chiefs season. Its on their Outsider Radio podcast. The show starts at 3 pm Central and I have no idea when they'll play my part. Check it out:

http://mvn.com/outsiderradio/

Its only my second podcast, which explains my nervousness.

by Chris Thorman on Aug 22, 2007 2:27 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

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